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Ligue 2
Referee: F Benchabane
Lorient
S S S S T
0–0
Full-time
Metz
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 53%
59%
47%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
47%
29%
Both score Ø 47%
47%
47%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
6 Shots 4
1 Shots on target 0
0 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 2. · Metz 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 18 10 4 4 +11 34
2 Lorient 17 10 3 4 +13 33
3 Dunkerque 18 10 3 5 +5 33
4 Metz 17 8 6 3 +11 30
5 Annecy 18 8 6 4 +3 30
6 Laval 18 8 5 5 +10 29
7 Guingamp 18 9 2 7 +7 29
8 Bastia 18 5 10 3 +5 25
9 Grenoble 18 7 3 8 +0 24
10 Pau FC 18 6 6 6 -1 24
11 Rodez 18 6 5 7 +2 23
12 Clermont 18 6 5 7 -3 23
13 Amiens 18 7 2 9 -5 23
14 Red Star 18 6 4 8 -10 22
15 Troyes 18 6 3 9 -2 21
16 Caen 18 4 3 11 -8 15
17 Ajaccio 18 4 3 11 -12 15
18 Martigues 18 3 3 12 -26 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lorient Metz
Half-time 0–0
F. Mendy 🔁
↦ J. Makengo
46′
T. Le Bris 🔁
↦ P. Katseris
46′
Julien Laporte 🟨
70′
71′
🔁 A. Touré
↦ J. Deminguet
Darlin Yongwa 🟨
74′
J. Ponceau 🔁
↦ E. Kroupi
75′
Igor Silva 🔁
↦ G. Kalulu
75′
83′
🔁 K. Van Den Kerkhof
↦ A. Jallow
83′
🔁 I. Gueye
↦ C. Sabaly
Julien Ponceau 🟨
87′
88′
🟨 Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Igor Silva 🟨
91′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Lorient

4-1-4-1
38 Y. Mvogo G
24 G. Kalulu D
15 J. Laporte D
3 M. Talbi D
44 D. Yongwa D
6 L. Abergel M
77 P. Katseris M
62 A. Avom M
17 J. Makengo M
22 E. Kroupi M
28 S. Soumano F
Bench (7)
5 F. Mendy
11 T. Le Bris
21 J. Ponceau
2 Igor Silva
1 B. Leroy
66 I. James
10 P. Pagis

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Metz

3-5-2
29 A. Bodart G
38 S. Sané D
15 A. Lô D
5 Fali Candé D
39 K. Kouao M
36 A. Jallow M
21 B. Stambouli M
20 J. Deminguet M
3 M. Udol M
14 C. Sabaly F
7 G. Hein F
Bench (7)
12 A. Touré
22 K. Van Den Kerkhof
18 I. Gueye
2 M. Colin
19 M. Bokele Mputu
57 A. Mirbach
10 P. Diallo

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,88
U ✓
3,53
B
3,89
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Benchabane · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.