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Ligue 2
Referee: P Legat
Paris FC
U U S T T
1–0
Full-time
Amiens
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 47%
53%
41%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
47%
59%
Both score Ø 41%
41%
41%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
20 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
10 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris FC 3. · Amiens 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 17 10 3 4 +13 33
2 Dunkerque 18 10 3 5 +5 33
3 Paris FC 17 9 4 4 +10 31
4 Metz 17 8 6 3 +11 30
5 Annecy 18 8 6 4 +3 30
6 Laval 18 8 5 5 +10 29
7 Guingamp 18 9 2 7 +7 29
8 Pau FC 18 6 6 6 -1 24
9 Rodez 18 6 5 7 +2 23
10 Clermont 18 6 5 7 -3 23
11 Amiens 17 7 2 8 -4 23
12 Bastia 17 4 10 3 +1 22
13 Red Star 18 6 4 8 -10 22
14 Grenoble 17 6 3 8 -1 21
15 Troyes 18 6 3 9 -2 21
16 Caen 17 4 3 10 -7 15
17 Ajaccio 17 4 3 10 -8 15
18 Martigues 18 3 3 12 -26 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris FC Amiens
18′
🟨 Sébastien Corchia
32′
🟨 Owen Gene
Half-time 0–0
Vincent Marchetti 🟨
46′
1–0 P. Hamel
T. Kolodziejczak
50′
54′
🟨 Kylian Kaiboue
I. Kebbal 🔁
↦ A. Gory
68′
68′
🔁 R. Lutin
↦ F. Boya
Tuomas Ollila 🟨
71′
N. Dicko 🔁
↦ P. Hamel
77′
A. Soumahoro 🔁
↦ T. Ollila
77′
J. López 🔁
↦ J. Krasso
82′
L. Doucet 🔁
↦ V. Marchetti
82′
84′
🔁 E. Dao
↦ L. Mafouta
84′
🔁 K. Kouassi
↦ A. Léautey
84′
🔁 M. Manitu
↦ N. Kandil
Adama Camara 🟨
86′
92′
🔁 I. Fofana
↦ K. Kaïboué
Maxime López 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 Rayan Lutin
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Paris FC

4-2-3-1
16 O. Nkambadio G
39 M. Tourraine D
5 M. Mbow D
15 T. Kolodziejczak D
2 T. Ollila D
4 V. Marchetti M
17 A. Camara M
21 M. Lopez M
11 J. Krasso M
7 A. Gory M
29 P. Hamel F
Bench (7)
10 I. Kebbal
12 N. Dicko
6 A. Soumahoro
20 J. López
8 L. Doucet
1 R. Riou
22 S. Alakouch

Coach: S. Gilli

Amiens

4-4-1-1
1 R. Gurtner G
14 S. Corchia D
5 O. Urhoghide D
13 M. Jaouab D
19 R. Vita D
7 A. Léautey M
29 F. Boya M
25 O. Géne M
10 N. Kandil M
20 K. Kaïboué F
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
27 R. Lutin
22 E. Dao
41 K. Kouassi
18 M. Manitu
45 I. Fofana
39 A. Chabane
16 A. Sauvage

Coach: O. Daf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
U
3,75
B
5,28
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Legat · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.