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LaLiga2
Eibar
S S U S U
1–0
Full-time
Almeria
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 56%
44%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
1 Corners 5
15 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 5. · Almeria 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 9 6 1 2 +10 19
2 Sp Gijon 9 5 3 1 +4 18
3 Ponferradina 9 5 2 2 +5 17
4 Tenerife 9 5 2 2 +4 17
5 Eibar 9 4 3 2 +2 15
6 Las Palmas 9 3 5 1 +3 14
7 Fuenlabrada 9 3 4 2 +2 13
8 Oviedo 9 2 6 1 +2 12
9 Valladolid 9 3 3 3 +0 12
10 Cartagena 9 4 0 5 -3 12
11 Malaga 9 3 3 3 -3 12
12 Huesca 9 3 2 4 +2 11
13 Mirandes 9 3 2 4 +0 11
14 Lugo 9 2 5 2 -1 11
15 Ibiza 9 2 5 2 -3 11
16 Sociedad B 9 2 4 3 +0 10
17 Burgos 9 2 3 4 -1 9
18 Leganes 9 2 3 4 -2 9
19 Zaragoza 9 1 6 2 -2 9
20 Girona 9 2 2 5 -3 8
21 Amorebieta 9 1 4 4 -5 7
22 Alcorcon 9 2 0 7 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,36
U
3,20
B
3,00
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,00
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.