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LaLiga2
Referee: Salvador Lax
Cadiz
S U T T U
2–2
Full-time
Tenerife
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Tenerife
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
4 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 9
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 18. · Tenerife 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huesca 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Zaragoza 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Albacete 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Santander 3 1 2 0 +2 5
5 Burgos 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Eibar 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Levante 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Almeria 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Mirandes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Eldense 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Oviedo 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Granada 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Malaga 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Cordoba 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Ferrol 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Sp Gijon 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Castellon 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Cadiz 2 0 1 1 -4 1
19 La Coruna 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Tenerife 2 0 0 2 -2 0
21 Elche 2 0 0 2 -2 0
22 Cartagena 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Tenerife
Javi Ontiveros 🔁
↦ Fali
13′
13′
🔁 Josep Gayá
↦ Juande Rivas
Javier Ontiveros 🟨
22′
26′
Y. Diarra 0–1
Josep Gayá
Half-time 0–1
Brian Ocampo 🟨
52′
Rubén Alcaraz 🟨
52′
54′
Luismi Cruz 0–2
Iván Alejo 🔁
↦ Joseba Zaldúa
60′
62′
🔁 Alejandro Cantero
↦ Ángel Rodríguez
66′
🟨 Tomeu Nadal
Álex Fernández 🔁
↦ Rubén Alcaraz
68′
T. Alarcón 🔁
↦ G. Escalante
68′
Iván Alejo 🟨
70′
Álex Fernández 🟨
72′
Chris Ramos ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
72′
1–2 Álex Fernández
74′
75′
🔁 Adrián Guerrero
↦ Waldo Rubio
75′
🔁 Enric Gallego
↦ David Rodríguez
José Matos 🔁
↦ Iza Carcelén
81′
F. Mwepu 🔁
↦ Rubén Sobrino
81′
Tomás Alarcón 🟨
82′
Brian Ocampo ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
85′
88′
🔁 Teto
↦ Maikel Mesa
88′
🔁 Álex Corredera
↦ Luismi Cruz
91′
🟨 Álejandro Cantero
2–2 F. Mwepu
94′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-1-4-1
1 David Gil G
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
5 Víctor Chust D
24 Cristian Glauder D
20 Iza Carcelén D
3 Fali M
7 Rubén Sobrino M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
17 G. Escalante M
10 B. Ocampo M
16 Chris Ramos F
Bench (11)
22 Javi Ontiveros
11 Iván Alejo
8 Álex Fernández
21 T. Alarcón
18 José Matos
15 F. Mwepu
14 B. Kovačević
13 José Antonio Caro
27 M. Diakité
19 José de la Rosa
33 Julio Cabrera

Coach: Paco López

Tenerife

4-4-2
13 Tomeu Nadal G
22 J. Mellot D
23 Juande Rivas D
12 Rubén Alves D
2 David Rodríguez D
11 Luismi Cruz M
8 Y. Diarra M
15 Y. Bodiger M
17 Waldo Rubio M
20 Maikel Mesa F
9 Ángel Rodríguez F
Bench (10)
24 Josep Gayá
19 Alejandro Cantero
14 Adrián Guerrero
18 Enric Gallego
21 Teto
10 Álex Corredera
30 Sergio Padilla
27 Alassán
34 Yanis Senhadji
28 Dylan Perera

Coach: Óscar Cano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,84
U ✓
3,25
B
4,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,49
U2,5
1,50
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Salvador Lax · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.