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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel González
Villarreal B
T T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Burgos
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal B Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,7
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 32%
21%
42%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 42%
48%
36%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 20
6 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal B 22. · Burgos 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 34 17 10 7 +26 61
2 Eibar 33 16 7 10 +16 55
3 Oviedo 34 14 12 8 +15 54
4 Espanol 33 14 12 7 +14 54
5 Santander 33 15 8 10 +7 53
6 Elche 34 15 8 11 +4 53
7 Valladolid 33 15 7 11 +7 52
8 Levante 34 12 15 7 +3 51
9 Ferrol 34 13 12 9 +1 51
10 Burgos 33 14 8 11 -1 50
11 Sp Gijon 33 13 10 10 +6 49
12 Huesca 34 9 15 10 +6 42
13 Tenerife 33 11 9 13 -4 42
14 Eldense 34 10 12 12 -8 42
15 Zaragoza 34 10 11 13 +0 41
16 Cartagena 33 10 9 14 -11 39
17 Mirandes 33 9 10 14 -8 37
18 Andorra 34 9 8 17 -13 35
19 Amorebieta 34 8 10 16 -11 34
20 Alcorcon 33 8 10 15 -19 34
21 Albacete 33 7 12 14 -10 33
22 Villarreal B 33 7 9 17 -20 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal B Burgos
1–0 Pau Navarro
15′
Carlos Romero 🟨
24′
Pablo Íñiguez 🟨
36′
40′
🟨 Unai Elguezabal
2–0 Álex Forés
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Joni Montiel
↦ Unai Elgezabal
60′
🔁 Álex Bermejo
↦ Dani Ojeda
71′
🔁 Ander Martín
↦ Álex Sancris
71′
🔁 Borja González
↦ Miguel Atienza
71′
🔁 Miki Muñoz
↦ José Matos
T. Geralnik 🔁
↦ Hugo Novoa
74′
Lanchi 🔁
↦ Carlo Adriano
74′
Jorge Pascual 🔁
↦ Álex Forés
84′
Reque 🔁
↦ Carlos Romero
84′
84′
Fer Niño 2–1
Joni Montiel
Diego Collado 🔁
↦ Javi Ontiveros
92′
Jorge Pascual 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Villarreal B

4-2-3-1
1 Iker Álvarez G
2 Adrià Alti D
12 S. Leković D
19 Pablo Íñiguez D
3 Dani Tasende D
33 Pau Navarro M
8 Carlo Adriano M
17 Hugo Novoa M
10 Javi Ontiveros M
18 Carlos Romero M
9 Álex Forés F
Bench (11)
22 T. Geralnik
16 Lanchi
11 Jorge Pascual
27 Reque
7 Diego Collado
14 Aitor Gelardo
24 A. Ferrari
13 Miguel Ángel Morro
29 Espigares
5 Abraham del Moral
15 Marcos Sánchez

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Antonio Caro G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
20 Grego Sierra D
23 José Matos D
11 Álex Sancris M
5 Miguel Atienza M
14 Unai Elgezabal M
7 Dani Ojeda M
9 Fer Niño F
16 Curro Sánchez F
Bench (7)
21 Joni Montiel
10 Álex Bermejo
8 Ander Martín
2 Borja González
22 Miki Muñoz
1 L. Badiashile
26 S. Rodríguez

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,98
U
3,04
B
2,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel González · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.