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LaLiga2
Referee: Germán Cid
Ferrol
U S U U T
1–0
Full-time
Zaragoza
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferrol Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
7 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ferrol 11. · Zaragoza 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zaragoza 6 5 1 0 +8 16
2 Leganes 7 5 0 2 +7 15
3 Espanol 6 4 2 0 +7 14
4 Levante 7 4 2 1 +3 14
5 Santander 7 3 3 1 +4 12
6 Tenerife 6 4 0 2 +4 12
7 Sp Gijon 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 Burgos 7 3 1 3 +3 10
9 Valladolid 7 3 1 3 -1 10
10 Andorra 7 3 1 3 -2 10
11 Ferrol 6 2 3 1 +1 9
12 Eibar 7 3 0 4 -3 9
13 Amorebieta 7 2 2 3 +1 8
14 Villarreal B 7 2 2 3 +0 8
15 Albacete 7 2 2 3 -2 8
16 Eldense 7 2 2 3 -4 8
17 Elche 7 2 2 3 -4 8
18 Huesca 7 1 4 2 -2 7
19 Mirandes 7 2 1 4 -3 7
20 Alcorcon 7 1 2 4 -8 5
21 Oviedo 7 0 3 4 -4 3
22 Cartagena 7 1 0 6 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ferrol Zaragoza
David Castro 🟨
23′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Álvaro Giménez
Carlos Vicente
60′
62′
🔁 Manu Vallejo
↦ S. Bakış
72′
🔁 Maikel Mesa
↦ Toni Moya
72′
🔁 Víctor Mollejo
↦ Germán Valera
Manu Justo 🔁
↦ Álvaro Giménez
74′
Chuca 🔁
↦ Héber Pena
74′
80′
🔁 Marcos Luna
↦ Fran Gámez
80′
🔁 Sergi Enrich
↦ Sergio Bermejo
Nacho Sánchez 🔁
↦ Iker Losada
86′
Moi Delgado 🔁
↦ Brais Martínez
86′
Fran Manzanara 🔁
↦ Carlos Vicente
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ferrol

4-4-2
25 Ander Cantero G
2 Julián Delmás D
4 Jon García D
15 David Castro D
18 Brais Martínez D
23 Carlos Vicente M
6 Jesús Bernal M
10 Josep Señé M
7 Héber Pena M
22 Iker Losada F
20 Álvaro Giménez F
Bench (10)
9 Manu Justo
17 Chuca
11 Nacho Sánchez
21 Moi Delgado
16 Fran Manzanara
13 Emilio Bernad
1 G. Gazzaniga
8 Álex López
24 Sergio Cubero
5 Enrique Clemente

Coach: Cristóbal

Zaragoza

4-4-2
1 C. Álvarez G
18 Fran Gámez D
6 Alejandro Francés D
3 Jair Amador D
38 Andrés Borge D
10 Sergio Bermejo M
21 Toni Moya M
5 Jaume Grau M
7 Germán Valera M
12 S. Bakış F
9 Iván Azón F
Bench (12)
19 Manu Vallejo
11 Maikel Mesa
20 Víctor Mollejo
27 Marcos Luna
23 Sergi Enrich
13 G. Poussin
8 Marc Aguado
31 Juan Serrano
26 Alberto Vaquero
24 Lluís López
15 S. Mouriño
35 Dani Rebollo

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,81
U
2,90
B
2,73
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,63
U2,5 ✓
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Germán Cid · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.