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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel González
Santander
S S T U U
1–0
Full-time
Amorebieta
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Amorebieta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
25%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
7 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santander 12. · Amorebieta 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Leganes 5 4 0 1 +6 12
3 Zaragoza 4 4 0 0 +6 12
4 Tenerife 5 4 0 1 +5 12
5 Ferrol 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Levante 5 2 2 1 -1 8
7 Burgos 5 2 1 2 +0 7
8 Sp Gijon 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Andorra 4 2 0 2 -2 6
10 Eldense 4 2 0 2 -2 6
11 Amorebieta 4 1 2 1 +2 5
12 Santander 4 1 2 1 +2 5
13 Albacete 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Mirandes 4 1 1 2 +0 4
15 Elche 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Alcorcon 4 1 1 2 -4 4
17 Villarreal B 4 1 0 3 -2 3
18 Cartagena 4 1 0 3 -2 3
19 Oviedo 5 0 3 2 -2 3
20 Valladolid 4 1 0 3 -3 3
21 Huesca 5 0 3 2 -4 3
22 Eibar 5 1 0 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santander Amorebieta
Rubén 🟨
3′
Juan Carlos Arana 🟨
8′
1–0 Andrés Martín
10′
31′
🟨 Alvaro Nunez
Germán Sánchez 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🟨 Kwasi Sibo
Marco Sangalli 🔁
↦ Peque Fernández
58′
Ekain Zenitagoia 🔁
↦ Juan Carlos Arana
58′
59′
🔁 Jon Morcillo
↦ Rayco Rodríguez
59′
🔁 Javier Avilés
↦ Eneko Jauregi
67′
🔁 L. Quintero
↦ Javier Avilés
Yeray Cabanzón 🔁
↦ Andrés Martín
74′
79′
🔁 M. Da Graca
↦ Eraso
79′
🔁 Erik Morán
↦ K. Sibo
C. Grenier 🔁
↦ Íñigo Sainz-Maza
89′
Marco Sangalli 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
2 Álvaro Mantilla D
5 Germán Sánchez D
15 Rubén Alves D
3 Saúl García D
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza M
21 Aritz Aldasoro M
11 Andrés Martín M
17 Peque Fernández M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (9)
7 Marco Sangalli
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
27 Yeray Cabanzón
19 C. Grenier
22 Juan Gutiérrez
40 Mario García
16 Iván Morante
1 Miquel Parera
4 Pol Moreno

Coach: José Alberto López

Amorebieta

4-4-2
13 Jon Mikel G
15 Álvaro Núñez D
4 Manu Hernando D
3 Xabier Etxeita D
28 Félix Garreta D
7 Josué Dorrio M
21 Àlex Carbonell M
20 K. Sibo M
17 Rayco Rodríguez M
14 Eraso F
9 Eneko Jauregi F
Bench (10)
22 Jon Morcillo
19 Javier Avilés
27 L. Quintero
29 M. Da Graca
8 Erik Morán
1 Unai Marino
2 Jorge Mier
11 Iker Seguín
24 Josep Gayá
10 R. Edwards

Coach: Haritz Mújika

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,83
U
3,37
B
4,46
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Miguel González · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.