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LaLiga2
Referee: Iván Caparrós
Zaragoza
U S T U S
1–4
Full-time
Alaves
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 41%
31%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
31%
38%
Both score Ø 41%
35%
46%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
15 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 14. · Alaves 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 26 13 10 3 +15 49
2 Granada 27 14 5 8 +16 47
3 Levante 26 12 11 3 +13 47
4 Eibar 26 13 8 5 +8 47
5 Alaves 26 13 7 6 +9 46
6 Albacete 26 11 9 6 +5 42
7 Burgos 26 10 10 6 +7 40
8 Leganes 26 10 8 8 +3 38
9 Cartagena 26 9 7 10 -1 34
10 Huesca 26 8 10 8 -1 34
11 Tenerife 27 8 10 9 -2 34
12 Oviedo 26 9 7 10 -3 34
13 Villarreal B 26 9 7 10 -4 34
14 Zaragoza 26 8 9 9 +0 33
15 Andorra 26 9 5 12 +2 32
16 Sp Gijon 26 7 11 8 -2 32
17 Mirandes 26 7 9 10 -4 30
18 Santander 26 6 9 11 -5 27
19 Ponferradina 26 6 9 11 -9 27
20 Malaga 26 4 10 12 -11 22
21 Lugo 26 5 7 14 -14 22
22 Ibiza 26 4 6 16 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Nov -22 Alaves – Zaragoza 1–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,74
U
2,82
B ✓
2,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,83
U2,5
1,42
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Iván Caparrós · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.