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LaLiga2

Referee: Daniel Trujillo

Alaves

S S S U T

0–0

Full-time

Lugo

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

2,2

0,2

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

40%

33%

Both score Ø 44%

47%

40%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

18 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 5

5 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Alaves 5. · Lugo 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	31	17	8	6	+11	59
2	Las Palmas	30	15	12	3	+20	57
3	Granada	30	16	6	8	+19	54
4	Levante	30	14	12	4	+13	54
5	Alaves	30	15	8	7	+13	53
6	Albacete	30	13	11	6	+7	50
7	Burgos	31	11	12	8	+5	45
8	Cartagena	30	12	8	10	+6	44
9	Huesca	30	9	13	8	+2	40
10	Leganes	30	10	10	10	+1	40
11	Villarreal B	30	11	7	12	-5	40
12	Tenerife	31	9	11	11	-3	38
13	Mirandes	30	9	10	11	-3	37
14	Andorra	30	10	6	14	+1	36
15	Sp Gijon	30	8	12	10	-3	36
16	Santander	30	9	9	12	-3	36
17	Oviedo	31	9	9	13	-6	36
18	Zaragoza	30	8	11	11	-6	35
19	Ponferradina	30	6	11	13	-14	29
20	Malaga	30	5	10	15	-11	25
21	Lugo	30	5	8	17	-21	23
22	Ibiza	30	5	8	17	-23	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	15	13	2	0	+27	41
2	Eibar	16	11	4	1	+12	37
3	Alaves	15	10	4	1	+14	34
4	Las Palmas	15	9	4	2	+12	31
5	Levante	15	9	4	2	+12	31
6	Huesca	15	8	6	1	+11	30
7	Albacete	15	8	5	2	+10	29
8	Mirandes	16	8	5	3	+6	29
9	Leganes	16	8	5	3	+5	29
10	Villarreal B	15	7	5	3	+6	26
11	Tenerife	15	7	5	3	+6	26
12	Sp Gijon	15	6	7	2	+7	25
13	Burgos	15	6	6	3	+5	24
14	Andorra	15	7	2	6	+9	23
15	Oviedo	16	6	4	6	-1	22
16	Cartagena	15	6	3	6	-1	21
17	Zaragoza	14	4	7	3	+0	19
18	Malaga	15	4	6	5	-2	18
19	Santander	14	4	5	5	-1	17
20	Ponferradina	15	4	5	6	-5	17
21	Lugo	15	3	6	6	-3	15
22	Ibiza	15	3	6	6	-5	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	15	6	8	1	+8	26
2	Cartagena	15	6	5	4	+7	23
3	Levante	15	5	8	2	+1	23
4	Eibar	15	6	4	5	-1	22
5	Burgos	16	5	6	5	+0	21
6	Albacete	15	5	6	4	-3	21
7	Alaves	15	5	4	6	-1	19
8	Santander	16	5	4	7	-2	19
9	Zaragoza	16	4	4	8	-6	16
10	Oviedo	15	3	5	7	-5	14
11	Villarreal B	15	4	2	9	-11	14
12	Granada	15	3	4	8	-8	13
13	Andorra	15	3	4	8	-8	13
14	Tenerife	16	2	6	8	-9	12
15	Ponferradina	15	2	6	7	-9	12
16	Leganes	14	2	5	7	-4	11
17	Sp Gijon	15	2	5	8	-10	11
18	Huesca	15	1	7	7	-9	10
19	Mirandes	14	1	5	8	-9	8
20	Lugo	15	2	2	11	-18	8
21	Ibiza	15	2	2	11	-18	8
22	Malaga	15	1	4	10	-9	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.