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Championship
Referee: D Webb
Norwich
S T S T T
1–1
Full-time
Reading
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Championship · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 44%
42%
46%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 52%
58%
46%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 9. · Reading 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 24 14 8 2 +25 50
2 Sheffield United 25 15 5 5 +21 50
3 Blackburn 25 13 0 12 -1 39
4 Watford 24 10 7 7 +6 37
5 Sunderland 24 10 6 8 +9 36
6 Middlesbrough 24 10 6 8 +7 36
7 Millwall 24 10 6 8 +3 36
8 West Brom 25 9 8 8 +7 35
9 Norwich 24 10 5 9 +4 35
10 Luton 23 9 8 6 +4 35
11 QPR 25 10 5 10 -3 35
12 Reading 24 11 2 11 -6 35
13 Preston 25 9 7 9 -3 34
14 Birmingham 24 8 8 8 +1 32
15 Swansea 24 8 8 8 -3 32
16 Coventry 23 8 7 8 +0 31
17 Stoke 24 8 6 10 -4 30
18 Bristol City 25 7 7 11 -3 28
19 Cardiff 25 7 7 11 -8 28
20 Rotherham 25 6 9 10 -8 27
21 Hull 24 7 6 11 -14 27
22 Huddersfield 24 7 4 13 -7 25
23 Blackpool 25 6 7 12 -10 25
24 Wigan 25 6 6 13 -17 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Reading
Grant Hanley 🟨
2′
Sam McCallum 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Idah
T. Pukki
53′
59′
🟨 Thomas Holmes
65′
🔁 Y. Meïté
↦ Lucas João
74′
🔁 N. Guinness-Walker
↦ T. Mcintyre
K. Dowell 🔁
↦ M. Núñez
75′
O. Hernández 🔁
↦ A. Idah
75′
77′
🟨 Mamadou Loum
Gabriel Sara 🟨
78′
83′
A. Carroll 1–1
89′
🔁 A. Mbengue
↦ J. Hoilett
I. Hayden 🔁
↦ S. McCallum
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Norwich

4-3-3
28 A. Gunn G
2 M. Aarons D
5 G. Hanley D
6 B. Gibson D
15 S. McCallum D
26 M. Núñez M
23 K. McLean M
17 Gabriel Sara M
24 J. Sargent F
22 T. Pukki F
11 A. Idah F
Bench (7)
10 K. Dowell
25 O. Hernández
8 I. Hayden
4 A. Omobamidele
46 L. Gibbs
1 T. Krul
9 J. Hugill

Coach: A. Russell

Reading

5-3-2
1 J. Lumley G
23 J. Hoilett D
17 A. Yiadom D
3 T. Holmes D
24 N. Sarr D
5 T. Mcintyre D
10 T. Ince M
22 M. Loum M
8 J. Hendrick M
9 Lucas João F
2 A. Carroll F
Bench (7)
11 Y. Meïté
18 N. Guinness-Walker
27 A. Mbengue
6 S. Dann
12 A. Baba
21 D. Bouzanis
7 S. Long

Coach: P. Ince

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,73
U ✓
3,68
B
4,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Webb · 199 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.