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Championship
Referee: J Gillett
Burnley
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
West Brom
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,7
This season — Championship · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 52%
63%
41%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
48%
33%
Both score Ø 54%
59%
48%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%
17 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
10 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
16 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burnley 1. · West Brom 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 27 17 8 2 +28 59
2 Sheffield United 28 17 6 5 +24 57
3 Watford 27 12 7 8 +5 43
4 Middlesbrough 26 12 6 8 +10 42
5 Blackburn 27 14 0 13 -4 42
6 West Brom 27 11 8 8 +9 41
7 Norwich 27 11 6 10 +7 39
8 Millwall 26 11 6 9 +5 39
9 Luton 25 10 8 7 +4 38
10 Swansea 27 10 8 9 +2 38
11 Sunderland 26 10 7 9 +7 37
12 QPR 27 10 7 10 -3 37
13 Preston 27 10 7 10 -6 37
14 Reading 27 11 4 12 -7 37
15 Hull 28 9 7 12 -11 34
16 Bristol City 27 8 8 11 -1 32
17 Coventry 25 8 8 9 -1 32
18 Birmingham 27 8 8 11 -4 32
19 Rotherham 27 7 9 11 -7 30
20 Stoke 27 8 6 13 -8 30
21 Cardiff 27 7 8 12 -9 29
22 Huddersfield 26 7 5 14 -8 26
23 Blackpool 27 6 8 13 -12 26
24 Wigan 27 6 7 14 -20 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burnley West Brom
7′
D. Furlong 0–1
J. Swift
42′
🟨 Darnell Furlong
Half-time 0–1
J. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ A. Barnes
63′
B. Manuel 🔁
↦ S. Bastien
63′
67′
🔁 T. Rogić
↦ J. Swift
1–1 N. Tella
A. Zaroury
75′
S. Twine 🔁
↦ N. Tella
83′
83′
🔁 A. Reach
↦ G. Diangana
2–1 S. Twine
87′
Vitinho 🔁
↦ B. Manuel
89′
89′
🔁 K. Ahearne-Grant
↦ J. Molumby
Ian Maatsen 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Burnley

4-3-3
49 A. Murić G
14 C. Roberts D
36 J. Beyer D
3 C. Taylor D
29 I. Maatsen D
24 J. Cullen M
26 S. Bastien M
8 J. Brownhill M
23 N. Tella F
10 A. Barnes F
19 A. Zaroury F
Bench (7)
9 J. Rodríguez
17 B. Manuel
11 S. Twine
22 Vitinho
28 A. Al-Dakhil
15 B. Peacock-Farrell
27 D. Churlinov

Coach: V. Kompany

West Brom

4-2-3-1
24 A. Palmer G
2 D. Furlong D
4 D. O'Shea D
15 E. Pieters D
3 C. Townsend D
14 J. Molumby M
35 O. Yokuşlu M
11 G. Diangana M
17 J. Wallace M
19 J. Swift M
12 D. Dike F
Bench (7)
7 T. Rogić
20 A. Reach
18 K. Ahearne-Grant
29 T. Gardner-Hickman
8 J. Livermore
6 S. Ajayi
1 D. Button

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,26
U
3,17
B
3,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Gillett · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.