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LaLiga2
Lugo
S T U T U
1–3
Full-time
Fuenlabrada
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Fuenlabrada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,3
4,2
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 18%
23%
13%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
56%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
62%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

14 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 8
5 Corners 5
18 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 15. · Fuenlabrada 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 40 24 7 9 +33 79
2 Eibar 39 21 11 7 +14 74
3 Valladolid 39 21 9 9 +22 72
4 Tenerife 39 20 9 10 +21 69
5 Oviedo 39 16 16 7 +16 64
6 Girona 39 19 7 13 +14 64
7 Ponferradina 39 17 12 10 +8 63
8 Las Palmas 39 16 13 10 +6 61
9 Cartagena 39 16 5 18 +0 53
10 Ibiza 39 12 16 11 +0 52
11 Huesca 40 12 15 13 +7 51
12 Burgos 39 14 8 17 -1 50
13 Leganes 39 12 14 13 -3 50
14 Zaragoza 39 10 19 10 -9 49
15 Lugo 39 9 20 10 -4 47
16 Mirandes 39 13 7 19 -10 46
17 Sp Gijon 39 10 12 17 -5 42
18 Malaga 39 10 12 17 -21 42
19 Amorebieta 40 8 16 16 -15 40
20 Sociedad B 40 10 10 20 -16 40
21 Fuenlabrada 39 5 14 20 -24 29
22 Alcorcon 39 5 10 24 -33 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U
3,20
B ✓
3,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,28
U2,5
1,60
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.