Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sampdoria
Empoli
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
35 | 26 | 5 | 4 | +45 | +11.3 | 83 |
| 2 |
Juventus
|
35 | 21 | 6 | 8 | +26 | +8.3 | 69 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
35 | 21 | 3 | 11 | +29 | +17.9 | 66 |
| 4 |
Lazio
|
35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | +26 | +2.4 | 65 |
| 5 |
Milan
|
35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | +14 | +2.6 | 61 |
| 6 |
Roma
|
35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | +12 | +7.6 | 59 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
|
35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | +14 | +3.7 | 58 |
| 8 |
Fiorentina
|
35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | +7 | +7.4 | 49 |
| 9 |
Monza
|
35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | -1 | -3.0 | 49 |
| 10 |
Torino
|
35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | -2 | +4.2 | 49 |
| 11 |
Bologna
|
35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | -1 | -2.6 | 47 |
| 12 |
Udinese
|
35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | +2 | -4.7 | 46 |
| 13 |
Sassuolo
|
35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | -11 | +3.9 | 44 |
| 14 |
Salernitana
|
35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | -13 | -13.0 | 38 |
| 15 |
Empoli
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -13 | -7.6 | 38 |
| 16 |
Lecce
|
35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | -13 | +0.5 | 32 |
| 17 |
Verona
|
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -24 | -7.5 | 29 |
| 18 |
Spezia
|
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -26 | -6.0 | 29 |
| 19 |
Cremonese
|
35 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -30 | -11.7 | 24 |
| 20 |
Sampdoria
|
34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -41 | -13.7 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
N. Ravaglia
G
B. Nuytinck
D
A. Zanoli
M
H. Winks
M
T. Augello
M
Coach: D. Stanković
G. Vicario
G
S. Luperto
D
A. Grassi
M
R. Marin
M
T. Baldanzi
M
L. Henderson
M
N. Cambiaghi
M
Coach: P. Zanetti
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Udinese
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
Torino
Fiorentina
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
Spezia
Lecce
Sampdoria
E Feliciani · 60 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.