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Serie B
Referee: G Collu
Juve Stabia
U S T T U
1–1
Full-time
Sampdoria
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juve Stabia Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
33%
26%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
48%
41%
Both score Ø 54%
48%
59%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,90 xG 0,36
63% Possession 37%
15 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juve Stabia 7. · Sampdoria 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Venezia 28 18 6 4 +33 +24.2 60
2 Monza 28 18 6 4 +23 +12.8 60
3 Frosinone 27 15 9 3 +24 +5.2 54
4 Palermo 27 14 9 4 +25 +8.6 51
5 Catanzaro 28 12 10 6 +10 +0.7 46
6 Modena 28 12 7 9 +13 +7.2 43
7 Juve Stabia 27 9 12 6 +0 +2.6 39
8 Cesena 28 11 5 12 -5 +4.7 38
9 Sudtirol 28 8 13 7 +3 -2.5 37
10 Padova 28 8 10 10 -5 -5.8 34
11 Carrarese 28 7 11 10 -5 -8.8 32
12 Empoli 27 7 10 10 -4 +1.9 31
13 Avellino 28 7 9 12 -16 -15.9 30
14 Sampdoria 27 7 8 12 -8 +1.6 29
15 Reggiana 28 7 8 13 -11 -4.8 29
16 Virtus Entella 28 6 10 12 -14 -11.3 28
17 Mantova 27 7 6 14 -15 -0.5 27
18 Spezia 28 6 8 14 -12 -0.6 26
19 Bari 27 5 10 12 -16 -14.5 25
20 Pescara 27 4 9 14 -20 -4.8 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juve Stabia Sampdoria
Half-time 0–0
58′
🟨 Tommaso Martinelli
F. Maistro 🔁
↦ N. Mosti
59′
C. Pierobon 🔁
↦ R. Burnete
59′
64′
🔁 M. Cicconi
↦ S. Giordano
76′
🔁 M. Ricci
↦ S. Esposito
A. Okoro 🔁
↦ A. Gabrielloni
78′
1–0 O. Correia
L. Carissoni
89′
90′
🔁 A. Barak
↦ F. Conti
90′
🔁 E. Soleri
↦ M. Viti
90′
🔁 S. Pafundi
↦ L. Cherubini
90′
A. Di Pardo 1–1
M. Cicconi
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Juve Stabia

3-5-2
23 P. Boer G
46 S. Diakite D
33 A. Giorgini D
14 C. Dalle Mura D
24 L. Carissoni M
98 N. Mosti M
55 G. Leone M
29 O. Correia M
77 A. Cacciamani M
9 A. Gabrielloni F
7 R. Burnete F
Bench (11)
16 A. Signorini
22 A. Vetro
37 F. Maistro
28 E. Torrasi
17 A. Ciammaglichella
2 M. Ricciardi
10 C. Pierobon
76 M. Mannini
90 A. Okoro
21 S. Kassama
70 P. Matheu

Coach: Ignazio Abate

Sampdoria

3-4-2-1
50 T. Martinelli G
13 M. Palma D
28 O. Abildgaard D
2 M. Viti D
29 A. Di Pardo M
33 F. Conti
94 S. Esposito M
21 S. Giordano M
11 T. Begic F
10 L. Cherubini F
99 M. Brunori F
Bench (11)
1 S. Ghidotti
98 G. Coucke
25 A. Ferrari
5 A. Riccio
34 T. Casalino
8 M. Ricci
72 A. Barak
92 E. Soleri
7 M. Cicconi
23 F. Depaoli
20 S. Pafundi

Coach: Angelo Gregucci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U ✓
3,00
B
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,43
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Collu · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.