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Serie B
Referee: J Sacchi
Bari
T U S U U
0–0
Full-time
Salernitana
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Salernitana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 26%
28%
24%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
28%
38%
Both score Ø 52%
55%
48%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bari 9. · Salernitana 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 30 21 6 3 +35 69
2 Spezia 30 14 13 3 +23 55
3 Pisa 29 16 7 6 +17 55
4 Cremonese 30 13 9 8 +15 48
5 Catanzaro 29 9 16 4 +5 43
6 Juve Stabia 30 11 10 9 +0 43
7 Cesena 30 11 9 10 +2 42
8 Palermo 30 10 9 11 +5 39
9 Bari 29 8 15 6 +4 39
10 Modena 30 7 14 9 +0 35
11 Cittadella 30 9 7 14 -20 34
12 Sudtirol 29 9 6 14 -8 33
13 Frosinone 30 7 12 11 -14 33
14 Carrarese 29 8 8 13 -10 32
15 Reggiana 29 7 10 12 -6 31
16 Brescia 30 6 13 11 -7 31
17 Sampdoria 29 6 13 10 -7 31
18 Mantova 29 6 12 11 -10 30
19 Salernitana 29 7 8 14 -12 29
20 Cosenza 29 6 11 12 -12 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Nov -24 Salernitana – Bari 0–2

Match report

Bari Salernitana
Mattia Maita 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
A. Novakovich 🔁
↦ N. Bonfanti
62′
R. Maiello 🔁
↦ M. Maita
62′
A. Oliveri 🔁
↦ Ahmad Benali
67′
74′
🔁 J. Reine-Adélaïde
↦ D. Verde
Raffaele Maiello 🟨
79′
G. Pereiro 🔁
↦ C. Favasuli
82′
A. Favilli 🔁
↦ K. Lasagna
82′
82′
🔁 S. Girelli
↦ F. Zuccon
Andrea Favilli 🟨
91′
94′
🔁 L. Njoh
↦ L. Amatucci
94′
🔁 F. Tongya
↦ T. Corazza
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Bari

3-5-2
1 B. Radunović G
3 V. Mantovani D
44 L. Šimić D
55 N. Obaretin D
27 C. Favasuli M
4 M. Maita M
21 G. Maggiore M
8 Ahmad Benali M
93 M. Dorval M
15 K. Lasagna F
11 N. Bonfanti F
Bench (12)
9 A. Novakovich
17 R. Maiello
7 A. Oliveri
20 G. Pereiro
99 A. Favilli
45 D. Marfella
10 N. Bellomo
94 C. Saco
23 F. Vicari
22 M. Pissardo
25 R. Pucino
19 C. Falletti

Coach: M. Longo

Salernitana

3-5-2
53 O. Christensen G
13 F. Ruggeri D
33 G. Ferrari D
47 L. Lochoshvili D
29 P. Ghiglione M
98 F. Zuccon M
73 L. Amatucci M
21 R. Soriano M
16 T. Corazza M
31 D. Verde F
90 A. Cerri F
Bench (12)
19 J. Reine-Adélaïde
72 S. Girelli
17 L. Njoh
7 F. Tongya
70 A. Tello
55 L. Sepe
30 P. Stojanović
8 A. Hrustić
99 A. Raimondo
2 D. Gentile
27 J. Guasone
40 L. Rodolfo

Coach: R. Breda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U ✓
3,11
B
3,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Sacchi · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.