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Serie B

Referee: A Giua

Salernitana

S U T U T

1–0

Full-time

Modena

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Modena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 23%

21%

25%

Points per game

0,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

39%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

57%

Average goals

2,3

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

14 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 1

0 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salernitana 20. · Modena 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	28	20	5	3	+34	65
2	Pisa	28	16	7	5	+18	55
3	Spezia	28	13	12	3	+22	51
4	Catanzaro	28	9	16	3	+9	43
5	Cremonese	28	11	9	8	+10	42
6	Cesena	28	11	7	10	+2	40
7	Juve Stabia	28	10	9	9	-1	39
8	Palermo	28	10	8	10	+6	38
9	Bari	28	8	14	6	+4	38
10	Modena	28	7	14	7	+2	35
11	Cittadella	28	9	7	12	-15	34
12	Carrarese	28	8	8	12	-9	32
13	Reggiana	29	7	10	12	-6	31
14	Brescia	28	6	12	10	-6	30
15	Sampdoria	28	6	12	10	-7	30
16	Sudtirol	28	8	6	14	-12	30
17	Mantova	28	6	11	11	-10	29
18	Cosenza	29	6	11	12	-12	29
19	Frosinone	28	5	12	11	-16	27
20	Salernitana	28	6	8	14	-13	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	14	12	1	1	+23	37
2	Pisa	14	10	3	1	+16	33
3	Spezia	13	8	4	1	+14	28
4	Cesena	14	7	5	2	+8	26
5	Catanzaro	15	6	7	2	+8	25
6	Carrarese	14	7	4	3	+4	25
7	Juve Stabia	14	7	3	4	+4	24
8	Bari	15	5	8	2	+4	23
9	Modena	14	5	7	2	+6	22
10	Palermo	14	6	4	4	+5	22
11	Cremonese	14	5	5	4	+1	20
12	Salernitana	14	5	4	5	+0	19
13	Mantova	13	5	4	4	-1	19
14	Cosenza	15	4	6	5	-4	18
15	Reggiana	14	4	5	5	-1	17
16	Sampdoria	14	4	5	5	-1	17
17	Brescia	14	3	7	4	+0	16
18	Sudtirol	14	4	4	6	-5	16
19	Frosinone	15	3	7	5	-7	16
20	Cittadella	13	2	6	5	-5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	14	8	4	2	+11	28
2	Spezia	15	5	8	2	+8	23
3	Cremonese	14	6	4	4	+9	22
4	Pisa	14	6	4	4	+2	22
5	Cittadella	15	7	1	7	-10	22
6	Catanzaro	13	3	9	1	+1	18
7	Palermo	14	4	4	6	+1	16
8	Bari	13	3	6	4	+0	15
9	Juve Stabia	14	3	6	5	-5	15
10	Reggiana	15	3	5	7	-5	14
11	Cesena	14	4	2	8	-6	14
12	Brescia	14	3	5	6	-6	14
13	Sudtirol	14	4	2	8	-7	14
14	Modena	14	2	7	5	-4	13
15	Sampdoria	14	2	7	5	-6	13
16	Cosenza	14	2	5	7	-8	11
17	Frosinone	13	2	5	6	-9	11
18	Mantova	15	1	7	7	-9	10
19	Carrarese	14	1	4	9	-13	7
20	Salernitana	14	1	4	9	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.