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Serie B
Referee: L Massimi
Salernitana
S T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Frosinone
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
This season — Serie B · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 19%
23%
15%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
54%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Salernitana 18. · Frosinone 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 27 19 5 3 +33 62
2 Pisa 27 16 7 4 +19 55
3 Spezia 27 13 11 3 +22 50
4 Catanzaro 27 9 15 3 +9 42
5 Cremonese 27 11 8 8 +10 41
6 Juve Stabia 27 10 9 8 +0 39
7 Bari 27 8 13 6 +4 37
8 Cesena 27 10 7 10 +0 37
9 Palermo 27 9 8 10 +5 35
10 Modena 27 7 13 7 +2 34
11 Carrarese 27 8 7 12 -9 31
12 Cittadella 27 8 7 12 -16 31
13 Brescia 27 6 12 9 -5 30
14 Reggiana 27 7 9 11 -5 30
15 Sampdoria 27 6 11 10 -7 29
16 Mantova 27 6 11 10 -9 29
17 Sudtirol 27 8 5 14 -12 29
18 Salernitana 26 6 7 13 -11 25
19 Cosenza 27 5 10 12 -13 25
20 Frosinone 26 4 11 11 -17 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salernitana Frosinone
Fabrizio Caligara 🟨
4′
25′
🟨 Gianluca Di Chiara
27′
A. Partipilo 0–1
G. Ambrosino
31′
🟨 Giuseppe Ambrosino
F. Tongya 🔁
↦ J. Reine-Adélaïde
40′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Ilario Monterisi
F. Zuccon 🔁
↦ F. Caligara
46′
60′
🔁 E. Pecorino
↦ G. Ambrosino
60′
🔁 F. Distefano
↦ A. Partipilo
60′
🔁 F. Ghedjemis
↦ T. Begić
61′
🟨 Filippo Distefano
1–1 P. Ghiglione
63′
T. Corazza 🔁
↦ L. Njoh
71′
75′
🔁 F. Lucioni
↦ İ. Vural
A. Raimondo 🔁
↦ D. Verde
81′
P. Stojanović 🔁
↦ P. Ghiglione
81′
84′
🟨 Gianluca Di Chiara
84′
🟥 Gianluca Di Chiara
85′
🔁 J. Oyono
↦ F. Distefano
93′
🟥 Ben Lhassine Kone
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Salernitana

3-5-2
53 O. Christensen G
15 D. Bronn D
33 G. Ferrari D
47 L. Lochoshvili D
29 P. Ghiglione M
18 F. Caligara M
73 L. Amatucci M
19 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
17 L. Njoh M
31 D. Verde F
90 A. Cerri F
Bench (12)
7 F. Tongya
98 F. Zuccon
16 T. Corazza
99 A. Raimondo
30 P. Stojanović
55 L. Sepe
27 J. Guasone
21 R. Soriano
24 J. Braaf
8 A. Hrustić
72 S. Girelli
13 F. Ruggeri

Coach: R. Breda

Frosinone

4-3-3
31 M. Cerofolini G
20 A. Oyono D
30 I. Monterisi D
18 D. Bettella D
77 G. Di Chiara D
92 B. Kone M
32 E. Bohinen M
8 İ. Vural M
70 A. Partipilo F
10 G. Ambrosino F
11 T. Begić F
Bench (12)
90 E. Pecorino
28 F. Distefano
7 F. Ghedjemis
15 F. Lucioni
21 J. Oyono
64 M. Cichella
55 E. Darboe
79 G. Bracaglia
47 Mateus Lusuardi
17 G. Kvernadze
13 A. Sorrentino
27 L. Canotto

Coach: P. Bianco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U ✓
3,22
B
3,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Massimi · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.