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Serie B
Referee: A Santoro
Modena
S U U U S
1–0
Full-time
Pisa
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 42%
24%
59%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
47%
59%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
59%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
6 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Modena 13. · Pisa 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 18 13 4 1 +25 43
2 Pisa 17 10 5 2 +13 35
3 Spezia 17 9 7 1 +17 34
4 Cremonese 17 7 4 6 +4 25
5 Cesena 17 7 4 6 +3 25
6 Juve Stabia 17 6 7 4 -1 25
7 Bari 18 5 9 4 +3 24
8 Catanzaro 17 4 11 2 +4 23
9 Carrarese 18 6 5 7 -4 23
10 Mantova 18 5 7 6 -2 22
11 Palermo 18 5 6 7 +1 21
12 Brescia 18 5 6 7 -3 21
13 Modena 17 4 8 5 +0 20
14 Cosenza 18 4 8 6 -3 20
15 Reggiana 17 4 6 7 -3 18
16 Sampdoria 17 4 6 7 -6 18
17 Salernitana 18 4 6 8 -7 18
18 Sudtirol 18 5 2 11 -13 17
19 Frosinone 18 3 7 8 -12 16
20 Cittadella 17 3 6 8 -16 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Modena Pisa
26′
🟨 Samuele Angori
38′
🟨 Adrian Rus
41′
🟨 Antonio Caracciolo
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 S. Canestrelli
↦ S. Angori
46′
🔁 P. Beruatto
↦ A. Rus
56′
🔁 A. Lind
↦ N. Bonfanti
1–0 G. Caso
F. Gerli
57′
71′
🔁 A. Arena
↦ G. Bonfanti
75′
🟨 Idrissa Touré
R. Idrissi 🔁
↦ M. Cotali
75′
T. Battistella 🔁
↦ G. Caso
75′
E. Gliozzi 🔁
↦ Pedro Mendes
76′
83′
🔁 E. Vignato
↦ G. Piccinini
A. Di Pardo 🔁
↦ F. Gerli
84′
M. Caldara 🔁
↦ A. Dellavalle
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Modena

3-4-2-1
26 R. Gagno G
25 A. Dellavalle D
19 G. Zaro D
33 C. Cauz D
6 L. Magnino M
16 F. Gerli M
8 S. Santoro M
29 M. Cotali M
10 A. Palumbo F
20 G. Caso F
11 Pedro Mendes F
Bench (12)
27 R. Idrissi
5 T. Battistella
9 E. Gliozzi
18 A. Di Pardo
23 M. Caldara
7 E. Duca
2 G. Beyuku
1 J. Sassi
78 F. Bagheria
21 K. Bozhanaj
90 F. Abiuso
24 M. Oliva

Coach: P. Mandelli

Pisa

3-4-3
47 A. Šemper G
17 A. Rus D
4 A. Caracciolo D
94 G. Bonfanti D
15 I. Touré M
36 G. Piccinini M
6 M. Marin M
3 S. Angori M
32 S. Moreo F
9 N. Bonfanti F
11 M. Tramoni F
Bench (12)
5 S. Canestrelli
20 P. Beruatto
45 A. Lind
30 A. Arena
10 E. Vignato
33 A. Calabresi
1 Nícolas
28 O. Abildgaard
22 L. Loria
25 T. Ferrari
74 Ž. Jevšenak
8 M. Højholt

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,82
U
2,83
B
2,79
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,64
U2,5 ✓
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.