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Coupe de France

Referee: A Petit

La Roche VF

S U

0–1

Full-time

Brest

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Roche VF Brest

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,7

Scored

3,5

1,8

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bastia	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Troyes	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Annecy	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Dijon	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Haguenau	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Caen	2	2	0	0	+10	6
8	Guingamp	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	Bourgoin-Jallieu	2	2	0	0	+7	6
10	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+7	6
11	Martigues	2	2	0	0	+7	6
12	Cannes	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	Le Puy Foot	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Thaon	2	2	0	0	+6	6
15	Feignies-Aulnoye	2	2	0	0	+6	6
16	Le Mans	2	2	0	0	+5	6
17	Union Saint-Jean	2	2	0	0	+5	6
18	Thionville Lusitanos	2	2	0	0	+5	6
19	Clermont	2	2	0	0	+4	6
20	Drancy	2	2	0	0	+4	6
21	Sochaux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
22	ASS Still Mutzig	2	2	0	0	+4	6
23	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
24	Valenciennes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
25	RC Calais	2	2	0	0	+3	6
26	Hauts Lyonnais	2	2	0	0	+3	6
27	Boulogne	3	2	0	1	+2	6
28	Metz	3	2	0	1	+1	6
29	RC Saint Joseph	3	2	0	1	-2	6
30	SA Mérignac	3	1	2	0	+6	5
31	Red Star	2	1	1	0	+6	4
32	La Roche VF	2	1	1	0	+6	4
33	Dives-Cabourg	2	1	1	0	+5	4
34	Bobigny	2	1	1	0	+4	4
35	Grenoble	2	1	1	0	+4	4
36	Jura Sud Foot	2	1	1	0	+4	4
37	Marmande	2	1	1	0	+3	4
38	Orleans	2	1	1	0	+3	4
39	Amiens	2	1	1	0	+3	4
40	Saint-Denis	2	1	1	0	+3	4
41	Colmar	2	1	1	0	+3	4
42	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	2	1	1	0	+3	4
43	Tours	2	1	1	0	+3	4
44	Stade Briochin	2	1	1	0	+3	4
45	Concarneau	2	1	1	0	+2	4
46	Pau FC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
47	Corte	2	1	1	0	+2	4
48	Dunkerque	2	1	1	0	+2	4
49	Quevilly Rouen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
50	Beaumont Saint-Cyr	2	1	1	0	+1	4
51	Rumilly Vallières	2	1	1	0	+1	4
52	Saint-Malo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
53	Chasselay MDA	3	1	1	1	+0	4
54	Mâcon	2	1	0	1	+2	3
55	Aubervilliers	2	1	0	1	+2	3
56	Rouen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
57	Versailles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
58	Aigles d'Or de Mana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
59	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
60	Neuilly sur Marne	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	Nancy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
62	Istres	2	1	0	1	+0	3
63	Angoulême	2	1	0	1	+0	3
64	Laval	3	0	3	0	+0	3
65	Gallia Lucciana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
66	Cluses-Scionzier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
67	Carnoux	2	1	0	1	+0	3
68	Beauvais	2	1	0	1	-1	3
69	La Roche sur Yon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
70	Calais Beau-Marais	2	1	0	1	-1	3
71	Les Herbiers	2	1	0	1	-1	3
72	Chambéry	2	1	0	1	-1	3
73	Ginglin Cesson	2	1	0	1	-1	3
74	Valence FC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
75	Olympique d'Alès	2	1	0	1	-2	3
76	Saint-Colomban Locminé	2	1	0	1	-2	3
77	Olympique de Valence	2	1	0	1	-2	3
78	Couzeix-Chaptelat	2	1	0	1	-2	3
79	Monnaie	2	1	0	1	-3	3
80	Bolbec	2	1	0	1	-5	3
81	Vierzon FC	2	0	2	0	+0	2
82	USSA Vertou	2	0	2	0	+0	2
83	Hettange-Grande	1	0	1	0	+0	1
84	Colomiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
85	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
86	TA Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
87	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
88	Villefranche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
89	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
90	Romorantin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
91	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
92	Saint-Omer	1	0	1	0	+0	1
93	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
94	Saint-Pierre Milizac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
95	Montagnarde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
96	Saint-Lô Manche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
97	Porto Portugais Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	Brétigny Foot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
99	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
100	Stade Béthunois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
101	Étoile Maritime	1	0	1	0	+0	1
102	Crépy-en-Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
103	Raon l'Etape	2	0	1	1	-1	1
104	Le Touquet	2	0	1	1	-1	1
105	Liancourt Clermont	2	0	1	1	-1	1
106	Diables Noirs	2	0	1	1	-2	1
107	Dinan Léhon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
108	Cesson	2	0	1	1	-3	1
109	Noyelles sous Lens	2	0	1	1	-3	1
110	Lunéville	2	0	1	1	-4	1
111	Agde	2	0	1	1	-4	1
112	Dragon	2	0	1	1	-5	1
113	Roubaix	1	0	0	1	-1	0
114	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
115	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
116	OCPAM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
117	Pays de Cassel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
118	Vannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
119	Saint-Cyr Collonges	1	0	0	1	-1	0
120	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
121	Samaritaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
122	Vendée Fontenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
123	Saint-Brieuc	1	0	0	1	-1	0
124	Maladrerie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
125	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
126	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
127	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
128	Marboz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	Blenod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Marignane	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	Arles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	Illkirch Graffenstaden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	Sauveteurs Brivois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	Lempdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
136	Stade Beaucairois	1	0	0	1	-2	0
137	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
138	Grandvillars	1	0	0	1	-2	0
139	Sablé	1	0	0	1	-2	0
140	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
141	Gueugnon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
142	Canet Roussillon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
143	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
144	Foron	1	0	0	1	-2	0
145	AC Paris 15	1	0	0	1	-2	0
146	Anduzien	1	0	0	1	-2	0
147	Fief-Gesté	1	0	0	1	-2	0
148	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
149	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
150	Alençon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
151	Ruffiac Malestroit	1	0	0	1	-2	0
152	Arras	1	0	0	1	-2	0
153	Comtal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
154	Grau-du-Roi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
155	Bressuire	1	0	0	1	-2	0
156	Etoile Matoury	2	0	0	2	-3	0
157	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	0	1	-3	0
158	Jeunesse Evolution	1	0	0	1	-3	0
159	Niort	1	0	0	1	-3	0
160	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
161	Paimpol	1	0	0	1	-3	0
162	Thouars	1	0	0	1	-3	0
163	FCSR Obernai	1	0	0	1	-3	0
164	Feytiat	1	0	0	1	-3	0
165	Nousseviller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
166	Boulay	1	0	0	1	-3	0
167	Avenir Mourenxois	1	0	0	1	-3	0
168	C' Chartres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
169	Freyming	1	0	0	1	-4	0
170	Cannet Rocheville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
171	Guéreins Genouilleux	1	0	0	1	-4	0
172	St-Just St-Rambert	1	0	0	1	-4	0
173	Valdahon Vercel	1	0	0	1	-4	0
174	ETC Anstaing Chéreng	1	0	0	1	-4	0
175	Labourse	1	0	0	1	-4	0
176	Montferrand	1	0	0	1	-4	0
177	Vesoul	1	0	0	1	-5	0
178	Serquigny Nassandres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
179	Raismes	1	0	0	1	-5	0
180	Allobroges Asafia	1	0	0	1	-5	0
181	Haubourdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0
182	St-Philbert Réorthe JA	1	0	0	1	-6	0
183	Olympique Cazaux	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bastia	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	ASS Still Mutzig	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Corte	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Rumilly Vallières	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Caen	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Dives-Cabourg	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Le Mans	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Haguenau	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Tours	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Boulogne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Aigles d'Or de Mana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Gallia Lucciana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	RC Saint Joseph	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Union Saint-Jean	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Beauvais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Olympique de Valence	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Beaumont Saint-Cyr	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Istres	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Angoulême	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Calais Beau-Marais	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Chambéry	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Ginglin Cesson	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Valence FC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
34	Olympique d'Alès	2	1	0	1	-2	3
35	Couzeix-Chaptelat	2	1	0	1	-2	3
36	SA Mérignac	2	0	2	0	+0	2
37	Hettange-Grande	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Colomiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Dragon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Cesson	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Bobigny	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Marmande	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Orleans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Colmar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Saint-Omer	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Saint-Pierre Milizac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Montagnarde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Saint-Lô Manche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Stade Béthunois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Saint-Denis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Étoile Maritime	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Crépy-en-Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Raon l'Etape	2	0	1	1	-1	1
61	Le Touquet	2	0	1	1	-1	1
62	Liancourt Clermont	2	0	1	1	-1	1
63	Agde	2	0	1	1	-4	1
64	Roubaix	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Vannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Chasselay MDA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Vendée Fontenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Saint-Brieuc	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Maladrerie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Rouen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Marboz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Cluses-Scionzier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Blenod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Lempdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Carnoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Grandvillars	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Gueugnon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Canet Roussillon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	La Roche sur Yon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Foron	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Anduzien	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Fief-Gesté	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Mâcon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Aubervilliers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Ruffiac Malestroit	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Arras	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Comtal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Grau-du-Roi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Bressuire	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Etoile Matoury	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	Dinan Léhon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	Niort	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Paimpol	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	FCSR Obernai	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Feytiat	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Nousseviller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Boulay	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Noyelles sous Lens	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Avenir Mourenxois	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	C' Chartres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	Freyming	1	0	0	1	-4	0
110	Guéreins Genouilleux	1	0	0	1	-4	0
111	St-Just St-Rambert	1	0	0	1	-4	0
112	Valdahon Vercel	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	ETC Anstaing Chéreng	1	0	0	1	-4	0
114	Lunéville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Labourse	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Montferrand	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Vesoul	1	0	0	1	-5	0
118	Serquigny Nassandres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
119	Raismes	1	0	0	1	-5	0
120	Monnaie	1	0	0	1	-5	0
121	Allobroges Asafia	1	0	0	1	-5	0
122	Haubourdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0
123	St-Philbert Réorthe JA	1	0	0	1	-6	0
124	Olympique Cazaux	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Annecy	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Dijon	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Guingamp	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Martigues	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Cannes	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Le Puy Foot	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Thaon	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	Thionville Lusitanos	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Clermont	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Sochaux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	RC Calais	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Troyes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Hauts Lyonnais	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Metz	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	Red Star	2	1	1	0	+6	4
17	La Roche VF	2	1	1	0	+6	4
18	Amiens	2	1	1	0	+3	4
19	Concarneau	2	1	1	0	+2	4
20	Pau FC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
21	Dunkerque	2	1	1	0	+2	4
22	Chasselay MDA	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Quevilly Rouen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Saint-Malo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Haguenau	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	SA Mérignac	1	1	0	0	+6	3
27	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+5	3
28	Caen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	Mâcon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
32	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
33	Jura Sud Foot	1	1	0	0	+4	3
34	Aubervilliers	1	1	0	0	+4	3
35	Bobigny	1	1	0	0	+4	3
36	Union Saint-Jean	1	1	0	0	+4	3
37	Saint-Denis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
38	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+3	3
39	Stade Briochin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
40	Rouen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
41	Colmar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
42	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+3	3
43	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
44	Marmande	1	1	0	0	+3	3
45	Monnaie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
47	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
48	Versailles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
49	Le Mans	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	La Roche sur Yon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Cluses-Scionzier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Carnoux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Neuilly sur Marne	2	1	0	1	+0	3
55	Nancy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
56	Boulogne	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	RC Saint Joseph	2	1	0	1	-3	3
58	Bolbec	2	1	0	1	-5	3
59	Vierzon FC	2	0	2	0	+0	2
60	Laval	2	0	2	0	+0	2
61	USSA Vertou	2	0	2	0	+0	2
62	Lunéville	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	TA Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Villefranche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Beaumont Saint-Cyr	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Romorantin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Noyelles sous Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Dinan Léhon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Tours	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Porto Portugais Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Brétigny Foot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Diables Noirs	2	0	1	1	-2	1
77	Etoile Matoury	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	OCPAM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Pays de Cassel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Saint-Cyr Collonges	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Samaritaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Marignane	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Arles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Illkirch Graffenstaden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Sauveteurs Brivois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Beauvais	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Stade Beaucairois	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Sablé	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	AC Paris 15	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Les Herbiers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Alençon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Jeunesse Evolution	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Olympique de Valence	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Thouars	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Cesson	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	0	0	1	-4	0
104	Cannet Rocheville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
105	Dragon	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.