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Premiership
Referee: I Snedden
Ross County
T S T T T
1–2
Full-time
St Mirren
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
18%
35%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
59%
76%
Both score Ø 50%
41%
59%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 2
7 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ross County 10. · St Mirren 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 15 14 1 0 +40 43
2 Aberdeen 16 10 4 2 +12 34
3 Rangers 15 10 2 3 +18 32
4 Motherwell 17 8 2 7 -4 26
5 Dundee United 16 6 6 4 +6 24
6 St Mirren 17 6 3 8 -6 21
7 Dundee 16 5 4 7 -2 19
8 Kilmarnock 18 4 6 8 -16 18
9 Hibernian 17 3 6 8 -8 15
10 Ross County 17 3 6 8 -20 15
11 ST Johnstone 17 4 2 11 -12 14
12 Hearts 17 3 4 10 -8 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ross County St Mirren
13′
🟨 Scott Tanser
27′
A. Iacovitti 0–1
Half-time 0–1
A. Denholm 🔁
↦ S. Allardice
46′
1–1 M. Efete
46′
55′
🟨 Scott Tanser
55′
🟥 Scott Tanser
61′
🟨 Elvis Bwomono
E. Brophy 🔁
↦ J. Nisbet
68′
Josh Reid 🔁
↦ G. Harmon
68′
76′
🔁 A. Gogić
↦ R. Idowu
77′
🔁 J. Ayunga
↦ M. Mandron
89′
O. Smyth 1–2
90′
🟨 Killian Phillips
92′
🔁 C. Boyd-Munce
↦ G. Kiltie
95′
🔁 D. Adeniran
↦ O. Smyth
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ross County

3-4-1-2
22 J. Hamilton G
4 A. Wright D
20 K. Łopata D
8 C. Randall D
24 M. Efete M
23 J. Nisbet M
6 S. Allardice M
16 G. Harmon M
10 N. Chilvers F
26 J. White F
9 R. Hale F
Bench (9)
15 A. Denholm
27 E. Brophy
43 Josh Reid
7 V. Loturi
14 J. Grieves
18 J. Amissah
3 R. Leak
12 M. Sheaf
21 C. Telfer

Coach: D. Cowie

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 E. Balcombe G
22 M. Fraser D
4 A. Iacovitti D
5 R. Taylor D
42 E. Bwomono M
8 O. Smyth M
88 K. Phillips M
3 S. Tanser M
12 R. Idowu F
9 M. Mandron F
11 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
13 A. Gogić
7 J. Ayunga
23 D. Adeniran
15 C. Boyd-Munce
33 E. Mooney
14 J. Scott
26 L. Kenny
28 C. Penman
27 P. Urminský

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,49
U
3,23
B ✓
2,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,16
U2,5
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Snedden · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.