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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Aberdeen
T U U T U
1–3
Full-time
Hibernian
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 41%
63%
18%
Points per game
2,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
63%
59%
Both score Ø 67%
75%
59%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

65% Possession 35%
14 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 2. · Hibernian 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 15 14 1 0 +40 43
2 Aberdeen 16 10 4 2 +12 34
3 Rangers 15 10 2 3 +18 32
4 Motherwell 17 8 2 7 -4 26
5 Dundee United 16 6 6 4 +6 24
6 St Mirren 17 6 3 8 -6 21
7 Dundee 16 5 4 7 -2 19
8 Kilmarnock 18 4 6 8 -16 18
9 Hibernian 17 3 6 8 -8 15
10 Ross County 17 3 6 8 -20 15
11 ST Johnstone 17 4 2 11 -12 14
12 Hearts 17 3 4 10 -8 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Nov -24 Hibernian – Aberdeen 3–3 12. May -24 Hibernian – Aberdeen 0–4 17. Feb -24 Aberdeen – Hibernian 2–2 3. Dec -23 Hibernian – Aberdeen 2–0 3. Sep -23 Aberdeen – Hibernian 0–2

Match report

Aberdeen Hibernian
1–0 T. Keskinen ⚽
L. Clarkson
14′
18′
⚽ É. Youan 1–1
M. Boyle
33′
🟨 Joe Newell
35′
⚽ N. Cadden 1–2
M. Boyle
Half-time 1–3
49′
⚽ M. Boyle 1–3
N. Triantis
51′
🔁 L. Miller
↦ W. OHora
D. Polvara 🔁
↦ L. Clarkson
59′
P. Ambrose 🔁
↦ E. Sokler
59′
59′
🔁 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
↦ J. Newell
Duk 🔁
↦ S. Heltne Nilsen
77′
A. Palaversa 🔁
↦ G. Shinnie
77′
S. Morris 🔁
↦ N. Devlin
77′
Topi Keskinen 🟨
86′
88′
🔁 J. Obita
↦ C. Cadden
Jack Mackenzie 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Martin Boyle
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
31 R. Doohan G
2 N. Devlin D
33 S. Rubežić D
21 G. Molloy D
3 J. MacKenzie D
6 S. Heltne Nilsen M
4 G. Shinnie M
7 J. McGrath M
10 L. Clarkson M
81 T. Keskinen M
19 E. Sokler F
Bench (9)
8 D. Polvara
32 P. Ambrose
11 Duk
18 A. Palaversa
20 S. Morris
15 J. McGarry
25 T. Ritchie
9 K. Nisbet
27 A. MacDonald

Coach: J. Thelin

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
13 J. Smith G
5 W. O'Hora D
33 R. Bushiri D
15 J. Iredale D
12 C. Cadden M
26 N. Triantis M
11 J. Newell M
19 N. Cadden M
32 J. Campbell F
10 M. Boyle F
7 É. Youan F
Bench (9)
2 L. Miller
18 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
21 J. Obita
22 N. Moriah-Welsh
14 L. Amos
23 J. Hoilett
6 D. Levitt
1 J. Bursik
34 D. Gayle

Coach: D. Gray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
🔒
U
3,50
🔒
B ✓
3,21
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,79
🔒
U2,5
2,01
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.