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Serie A
Referee: Luca J Pairetto
Palermo
U S S U S
0–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
7 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 9
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Palermo Sassuolo
31′
D. Berardi 0–1
Slobodan Rajković 🟨
32′
41′
🟨 Luca Mazzitelli
Half-time 0–1
I. Nestorovski 🔁
↦ N. Balogh
56′
R. Sallai 🔁
↦ A. Bentivegna
69′
72′
🔁 D. Biondini
↦ L. Mazzitelli
75′
🔁 D. Falcinelli
↦ G. Defrel
Robin Quaison 🟨
80′
Carlos Embalo 🔁
↦ R. Vitiello
81′
85′
🔁 C. Adjapong
↦ M. Politano
Slobodan Rajković 🟨
90′
Slobodan Rajković 🟥
90′
90′
🟨 Andrea Consigli
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Palermo

3-4-3
1 J. Posavec G
5 S. Rajković D
2 R. Vitiello D
3 A. Rispoli M
15 T. Cionek D
19 H. Aleesami D
14 A. Gazzi M
10 O. Hiljemark M
21 R. Quaison F
22 N. Balogh F
27 A. Bentivegna F
Bench (12)
30 I. Nestorovski
20 R. Sallai
11 Carlos Embalo
4 S. Anđelković
6 E. Goldaniga
12 G. González
18 I. Chochev
28 M. Jajalo
55 L. Marson
68 A. Fulignati
97 G. Pezzella
98 S. Lo Faso

Coach: D. Ballardini

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
23 M. Gazzola D
13 F. Peluso D
15 F. Acerbi D
5 L. Antei D
4 F. Magnanelli M
12 S. Sensi M
22 L. Mazzitelli M
11 G. Defrel F
16 M. Politano F
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (11)
8 D. Biondini
9 D. Falcinelli
98 C. Adjapong
10 A. Matri
1 A. Pomini
20 Pol Lirola
28 P. Cannavaro
29 M. Trotta
33 G. Sbrissa
55 T. Letschert
79 G. Pegolo

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luca J Pairetto · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.