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Pro League

Referee: K Van Damme

Charleroi

U U T T T

2–1

Full-time

St Truiden

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 10/15 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

30%

60%

Both score Ø 40%

20%

60%

Average goals

1,9

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

0,9

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,86 xG 0,91

49% Possession 51%

19 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

12 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 10. · St Truiden 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	12	8	3	1	+19	+12.5	27
2	Anderlecht	13	7	5	1	+17	+9.5	26
3	Genk	12	8	2	2	+10	+14.3	26
4	Antwerp	11	7	3	1	+17	+5.2	24
5	Gent	13	6	4	3	+13	-1.4	22
6	St. Gilloise	12	4	6	2	+5	+7.6	18
7	Dender	12	4	5	3	+0	-3.7	17
8	Mechelen	13	4	3	6	+0	-2.4	15
9	Standard	11	4	3	4	-8	-6.0	15
10	Charleroi	10	4	2	4	+1	+2.3	14
11	Cercle Brugge	14	3	4	7	-13	-7.8	13
12	St Truiden	15	3	4	8	-18	-5.5	13
13	Westerlo	12	3	3	6	-2	-2.3	12
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	1	7	3	-3	+2.3	10
15	Kortrijk	15	3	1	11	-23	-11.6	10
16	Beerschot VA	14	1	5	8	-15	-13.0	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	7	6	1	0	+11	+8.1	19
2	Gent	7	5	1	1	+14	+3.4	16
3	Anderlecht	7	4	3	0	+9	+4.2	15
4	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+14	+5.5	13
5	Standard	5	4	1	0	+4	-0.6	13
6	St Truiden	9	3	4	2	-1	+0.4	13
7	St. Gilloise	5	4	0	1	+6	+8.5	12
8	Westerlo	7	3	2	2	+6	+7.4	11
9	Mechelen	7	3	2	2	+5	+0.9	11
10	Club Brugge	4	3	1	0	+13	+8.8	10
11	Charleroi	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.9	10
12	Kortrijk	7	3	0	4	-4	-1.2	9
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	5	1	+1	+2.4	8
14	Cercle Brugge	6	2	2	2	-3	-0.8	8
15	Beerschot VA	7	1	4	2	-1	-4.7	7
16	Dender	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	5	2	1	+6	+3.7	17
2	Dender	8	3	3	2	-2	-4.3	12
3	Anderlecht	6	3	2	1	+8	+5.3	11
4	Antwerp	5	3	2	0	+3	-0.3	11
5	Genk	5	2	1	2	-1	+6.2	7
6	Gent	6	1	3	2	-1	-4.9	6
7	St. Gilloise	7	0	6	1	-1	-0.9	6
8	Cercle Brugge	8	1	2	5	-10	-7.0	5
9	Charleroi	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.6	4
10	Mechelen	6	1	1	4	-5	-3.4	4
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2
12	Standard	6	0	2	4	-12	-5.4	2
13	Westerlo	5	0	1	4	-8	-9.7	1
14	Beerschot VA	7	0	1	6	-14	-8.3	1
15	Kortrijk	8	0	1	7	-19	-10.5	1
16	St Truiden	6	0	0	6	-17	-5.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.