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LaLiga2
Referee: Daniel Palencia
Zaragoza
T U U T T
1–0
Full-time
Ferrol
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Ferrol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
35%
15%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
65%
35%
Both score Ø 55%
65%
45%
Average goals
2,8
2,1
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Zaragoza 14. · Ferrol 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 20 11 5 4 +11 38
2 Santander 20 11 4 5 +5 37
3 Mirandes 20 10 5 5 +6 35
4 Oviedo 21 10 5 6 +4 35
5 Elche 20 9 6 5 +11 33
6 Granada 21 9 6 6 +8 33
7 Huesca 20 9 5 6 +9 32
8 Levante 19 8 7 4 +7 31
9 Sp Gijon 20 8 6 6 +6 30
10 Castellon 20 8 5 7 +3 29
11 Eibar 21 8 4 9 -2 28
12 Malaga 20 5 12 3 +0 27
13 Cordoba 21 7 6 8 -5 27
14 Zaragoza 20 7 5 8 +4 26
15 Albacete 21 6 8 7 -3 26
16 La Coruna 19 6 6 7 +6 24
17 Burgos 20 6 5 9 -8 23
18 Cadiz 20 5 7 8 -6 22
19 Eldense 20 5 5 10 -8 20
20 Ferrol 20 3 9 8 -13 18
21 Cartagena 21 4 2 15 -21 14
22 Tenerife 18 2 5 11 -14 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Ferrol
Ivan Azón Monzón 🟨
8′
30′
🔁 Rober Correa
↦ Moi Delgado
34′
🟨 Naldo
Iván Calero 🔁
↦ Francho Serrano
42′
Half-time 0–0
Pau Sans 🔁
↦ Marcos Luna
59′
Toni Moya 🔁
↦ Marc Aguado
59′
62′
🔁 Álvaro Giménez
↦ Eneko Jauregi
62′
🔁 Josué Dorrio
↦ Nacho Sánchez
1–0 Ager Aketxe
Pau Sans
63′
Bernardo Vital 🟨
65′
72′
🔁 Chiki
↦ Álvaro Sanz
74′
Álvaro Giménez
penalty missed
87′
🟨 Aitor Gelardo Vegara
Sergio Bermejo 🔁
↦ Ager Aketxe
89′
Jair Amador 🔁
↦ K. Bare
89′
Dani Tasende 🟨
92′
92′
🟥 Róber
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-3-3
13 G. Poussin G
2 Marcos Luna D
24 Lluís López D
15 Bernardo Vital D
4 Dani Tasende D
14 Francho Serrano M
8 Marc Aguado M
6 K. Bare M
33 Adrian Liso F
9 Iván Azón F
23 Ager Aketxe F
Bench (12)
19 Iván Calero
29 Pau Sans
21 Toni Moya
10 Sergio Bermejo
3 Jair Amador
26 Gori
1 C. Álvarez
25 Joan Femenías
32 Chema Aragües
17 Carlos Nieto
22 Alberto Marí
5 Enrique Clemente

Coach: David Navarro

Ferrol

4-2-3-1
25 Jesús Ruiz G
22 Aitor Buñuel D
4 A. Puric D
5 Naldo D
21 Moi Delgado D
6 Álvaro Sanz M
10 Josep Señé M
11 Nacho Sánchez M
14 Aitor Gelardo M
12 Bebé M
9 Eneko Jauregi F
Bench (11)
3 Rober Correa
20 Álvaro Giménez
17 Josué Dorrio
7 Chiki
19 Manu Vallejo
1 Emilio Bernad
26 David Carballo
8 Álex López
13 Yoel Rodríguez
2 Julián Delmás
24 Luis Perea

Coach: Cristóbal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
U
3,61
B
5,70
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,27
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniel Palencia · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.