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Serie B
Referee: S Galipò
Cosenza
S T U T U
1–1
Full-time
Juve Stabia
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
22%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
22%
56%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cosenza 16. · Juve Stabia 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Spezia 10 5 5 0 +7 20
2 Pisa 9 6 2 1 +6 20
3 Sassuolo 9 5 3 1 +9 18
4 Cremonese 9 4 2 3 +3 14
5 Juve Stabia 9 4 2 3 +0 14
6 Brescia 9 4 1 4 +0 13
7 Bari 10 2 6 2 +2 12
8 Palermo 9 3 3 3 +1 12
9 Reggiana 9 3 3 3 +1 12
10 Sudtirol 9 4 0 5 -1 12
11 Mantova 9 3 3 3 -2 12
12 Sampdoria 9 3 2 4 +1 11
13 Cesena 9 3 2 4 -1 11
14 Salernitana 9 3 2 4 -2 11
15 Modena 9 2 4 3 +0 10
16 Cosenza 9 2 4 3 -2 10
17 Catanzaro 9 1 6 2 -1 9
18 Cittadella 9 2 3 4 -6 9
19 Carrarese 9 2 2 5 -5 8
20 Frosinone 9 1 3 5 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cosenza Juve Stabia
Tommaso D'Orazio 🟨
-5′
6′
🟨 Marco Ruggero
16′
F. Maistro 0–1
C. Pierobon
Alessandro Caporale 🟨
29′
1–1 M. Ricciardi
39′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 G. Artistico
↦ L. Candellone
L. Strizzolo 🔁
↦ M. Zilli
60′
A. Rizzo Pinna 🔁
↦ R. Ciervo
60′
S. Mazzocchi 🔁
↦ T. Fumagalli
60′
64′
🟨 Romano Floriani Mussolini
Andrea Hristov 🟥
66′
Andrea Hristov ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
66′
Simone Mazzocchi 🟨
68′
P. Martino 🔁
↦ M. Ricciardi
74′
74′
🔁 K. Piscopo
↦ M. Bellich
74′
🔁 G. Leone
↦ F. Maistro
75′
🔁 C. Andreoni
↦ R. Floriani Mussolini
Luca Strizzolo 🟨
78′
C. Kourfalidis 🔁
↦ A. Florenzi
87′
87′
🔁 M. Meli
↦ C. Pierobon
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cosenza

3-4-3
1 A. Micai G
55 A. Hristov D
15 C. Dalle Mura D
17 A. Caporale D
16 M. Ricciardi M
34 A. Florenzi M
28 C. Kouan M
31 G. Ricci M
19 R. Ciervo F
21 M. Zilli F
10 T. Fumagalli F
Bench (12)
32 L. Strizzolo
20 A. Rizzo Pinna
30 S. Mazzocchi
4 P. Martino
39 C. Kourfalidis
12 G. Baldi
11 T. D'Orazio
6 Charlys
9 M. Sankoh
22 T. Vettorel
90 G. Begheldo
2 B. Cimino

Coach: M. Alvini

Juve Stabia

3-4-3
20 D. Thiam G
4 M. Ruggero D
23 F. Folino D
6 M. Bellich D
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
8 D. Buglio M
10 C. Pierobon M
29 N. Fortini M
37 F. Maistro F
9 A. Adorante F
27 L. Candellone F
Bench (12)
90 G. Artistico
11 K. Piscopo
55 G. Leone
28 C. Andreoni
14 M. Meli
3 Y. Rocchetti
98 N. Mosti
25 A. Gerbo
1 K. Matošević
99 E. Piovanello
7 F. Zuccon
13 M. Baldi

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,19
U ✓
3,06
B
3,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Galipò · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.