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Eredivisie
Referee: M van den Kerkhof
1–5
Full-time
Feyenoord
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
43%
Points per game
1,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
38%
43%
Both score Ø 62%
38%
86%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,42 xG 2,26
45% Possession 55%
8 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
10 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 7. · Feyenoord 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 9 0 0 +23 +13.5 27
2 Utrecht 7 6 1 0 +6 -0.5 19
3 Twente 9 4 3 2 +7 +10.6 15
4 Ajax 6 4 1 1 +9 +7.5 13
5 Feyenoord 7 3 4 0 +7 +6.1 13
6 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 1 3 +3 +3.7 13
7 Go Ahead Eagles 8 4 1 3 +0 +7.5 13
8 Willem II 8 3 2 3 +2 -4.3 11
9 Sparta Rotterdam 9 2 5 2 +0 +0.7 11
10 Nijmegen 9 3 1 5 +1 -3.6 10
11 For Sittard 8 3 1 4 -5 -2.1 10
12 Groningen 8 2 3 3 +0 -5.7 9
13 Heracles 8 2 3 3 -6 -4.6 9
14 NAC Breda 8 3 0 5 -8 -6.5 9
15 Heerenveen 8 2 2 4 -2 +0.1 8
16 Zwolle 8 2 2 4 -3 -6.0 8
17 Almere City 9 0 3 6 -17 -5.6 3
18 Waalwijk 9 0 1 8 -17 -10.8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Feyenoord
15′
I. Osman 0–1
Igor Paixão
Aske Adelgaard 🟨
19′
22′
A. Milambo 0–2
31′
🟨 Gernot Trauner
42′
🟨 In-Beom Hwang
44′
Q. Timber 0–3
I. Osman
Half-time 0–4
58′
A. Ueda 0–4
I. Osman
O. Edvardsen 🔁
↦ O. Antman
62′
M. Suray 🔁
↦ B. Adekanye
63′
R. Weijenberg 🔁
↦ A. Adelgaard
63′
65′
🔁 L. Ivanušec
↦ Igor Paixão
65′
🔁 T. Beelen
↦ G. Trauner
68′
🔁 G. Smal
↦ Hugo Bueno
73′
🔁 J. Carranza
↦ A. Ueda
74′
🔁 R. Zerrouki
↦ A. Milambo
77′
J. Carranza 0–5
Hwang In-Beom
F. Stokkers 🔁
↦ V. Edvardsen
78′
M. Smit 🔁
↦ J. Breum
78′
79′
ℹ️ Julián Carranza
VAR: Goal confirmed
1–5 O. Edvardsen
E. Linthorst
81′
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 L. Plogmann G
2 M. Deijl D
3 G. Nauber D
4 J. Kramer D
29 A. Adelgaard D
8 E. Linthorst M
21 E. Llansana M
11 B. Adekanye M
7 J. Breum M
19 O. Antman M
16 V. Edvardsen F
Bench (11)
23 O. Edvardsen
17 M. Suray
15 R. Weijenberg
27 F. Stokkers
9 M. Smit
25 J. Amofa
26 J. Dirksen
22 J. De Busser
24 L. Everink
30 S. Jansen
6 C. Twigt

Coach: P. Simonis

Feyenoord

4-3-3
22 T. Wellenreuther G
30 J. Lotomba D
18 G. Trauner D
33 D. Hancko D
16 Hugo Bueno D
27 A. Milambo M
4 Hwang In-Beom M
8 Q. Timber M
38 I. Osman F
9 A. Ueda F
14 Igor Paixão F
Bench (11)
17 L. Ivanušec
3 T. Beelen
5 G. Smal
19 J. Carranza
6 R. Zerrouki
1 J. Bijlow
15 F. González
23 A. Hadj Moussa
26 G. Read
21 P. Andreev
20 J. Mitchell

Coach: B. Priske

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,68
U
4,18
B ✓
1,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,15
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.