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Serie A

Referee: P Valeri

Salernitana

T T S T T

2–2

Full-time

Spezia

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,7

1,8

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

3,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-2,7

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 21/23 matches

Win Ø 22%

14%

30%

Points per game

0,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

62%

57%

Both score Ø 48%

38%

57%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

2,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

57% Possession 43%

9 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 7

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salernitana 20. · Spezia 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	23	16	5	2	+35	53
2	Napoli	24	16	4	4	+29	52
3	Milan	24	16	4	4	+23	52
4	Juventus	24	13	6	5	+15	45
5	Atalanta	23	12	7	4	+17	43
6	Lazio	24	11	6	7	+10	39
7	Roma	24	12	3	9	+10	39
8	Fiorentina	23	11	3	9	+8	36
9	Verona	24	9	6	9	+3	33
10	Torino	23	9	5	9	+7	32
11	Empoli	24	8	6	10	-10	30
12	Sassuolo	24	7	8	9	-3	29
13	Bologna	23	8	4	11	-8	28
14	Spezia	23	7	4	12	-18	25
15	Udinese	22	5	9	8	-6	24
16	Sampdoria	24	6	5	13	-8	23
17	Cagliari	24	4	8	12	-21	20
18	Venezia	23	4	6	13	-22	18
19	Genoa	24	1	11	12	-25	14
20	Salernitana	21	3	2	16	-36	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	12	9	2	1	+20	29
2	Napoli	12	8	1	3	+14	25
3	Torino	12	7	3	2	+13	24
4	Roma	13	7	3	3	+5	24
5	Milan	12	7	2	3	+9	23
6	Juventus	12	7	2	3	+8	23
7	Fiorentina	11	7	1	3	+14	22
8	Lazio	11	6	4	1	+12	22
9	Verona	12	6	2	4	+6	20
10	Bologna	12	5	2	5	+0	17
11	Udinese	11	3	5	3	-3	14
12	Atalanta	11	3	4	4	+2	13
13	Sassuolo	12	3	4	5	-4	13
14	Spezia	11	3	3	5	-2	12
15	Sampdoria	13	3	3	7	-5	12
16	Cagliari	12	2	5	5	-6	11
17	Empoli	12	3	1	8	-14	10
18	Venezia	12	2	3	7	-10	9
19	Genoa	11	0	5	6	-10	5
20	Salernitana	10	1	1	8	-19	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	12	9	3	0	+15	30
2	Milan	12	9	2	1	+14	29
3	Napoli	12	8	3	1	+15	27
4	Inter	11	7	3	1	+15	24
5	Juventus	12	6	4	2	+7	22
6	Empoli	12	5	5	2	+4	20
7	Lazio	13	5	2	6	-2	17
8	Sassuolo	12	4	4	4	+1	16
9	Roma	11	5	0	6	+5	15
10	Fiorentina	12	4	2	6	-6	14
11	Verona	12	3	4	5	-3	13
12	Spezia	12	4	1	7	-16	13
13	Sampdoria	11	3	2	6	-3	11
14	Bologna	11	3	2	6	-8	11
15	Udinese	11	2	4	5	-3	10
16	Venezia	11	2	3	6	-12	9
17	Genoa	13	1	6	6	-15	9
18	Cagliari	12	2	3	7	-15	9
19	Torino	11	2	2	7	-6	8
20	Salernitana	11	2	1	8	-17	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.