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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Stefanski

Zaglebie

T T U S S

1–3

Full-time

Jagiellonia

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 50%

36%

64%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

18%

45%

Both score Ø 36%

27%

45%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,54 xG 1,18

54% Possession 46%

17 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 2

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zaglebie 11. · Jagiellonia 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	11	8	1	2	+14	+6.2	25
2	Rakow	11	7	2	2	+11	+8.1	23
3	Cracovia	11	7	2	2	+7	+1.8	23
4	Jagiellonia	11	7	1	3	+1	-2.0	22
5	Legia	12	5	4	3	+8	+7.8	19
6	Pogon Szczecin	11	6	1	4	+4	+4.7	19
7	Widzew Lodz	12	5	4	3	+2	-1.1	19
8	Piast Gliwice	12	5	3	4	+2	+2.3	18
9	GKS Katowice	11	4	3	4	+5	+1.0	15
10	Motor Lublin	12	4	3	5	-4	-4.0	15
11	Zaglebie	11	4	2	5	-6	-2.8	14
12	Gornik Zabrze	11	3	3	5	-1	+1.5	12
13	Korona Kielce	12	3	3	6	-9	-5.0	12
14	Stal Mielec	10	3	2	5	-3	+0.3	11
15	Radomiak Radom	10	3	0	7	-4	-1.0	9
16	Lechia Gdansk	12	2	3	7	-10	-11.8	9
17	Puszcza	11	1	5	5	-9	-7.2	8
18	Slask Wroclaw	9	0	4	5	-8	+1.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	6	6	0	0	+10	+6.9	18
2	Lech Poznan	6	5	0	1	+11	+7.1	15
3	Jagiellonia	6	4	1	1	+4	+3.3	13
4	Legia	6	3	1	2	+6	+5.9	10
5	Widzew Lodz	5	3	1	1	+2	+0.1	10
6	Zaglebie	5	3	1	1	+2	+0.4	10
7	Stal Mielec	6	3	1	2	+1	+4.7	10
8	GKS Katowice	6	2	2	2	+2	-2.6	8
9	Piast Gliwice	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.1	8
10	Cracovia	5	2	2	1	+0	+2.9	8
11	Motor Lublin	7	2	2	3	-3	-0.6	8
12	Rakow	5	2	1	2	+4	+3.6	7
13	Gornik Zabrze	5	2	1	2	+2	+3.4	7
14	Radomiak Radom	5	2	0	3	+1	+2.2	6
15	Korona Kielce	6	2	0	4	-3	-0.3	6
16	Puszcza	6	1	3	2	-4	-3.6	6
17	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	2	3	-4	-5.9	5
18	Slask Wroclaw	4	0	3	1	-2	+2.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	6	5	1	0	+7	+4.5	16
2	Cracovia	6	5	0	1	+7	-1.1	15
3	Lech Poznan	5	3	1	1	+3	-0.9	10
4	Piast Gliwice	7	3	1	3	+0	+1.2	10
5	Legia	6	2	3	1	+2	+1.9	9
6	Widzew Lodz	7	2	3	2	+0	-1.3	9
7	Jagiellonia	5	3	0	2	-3	-5.3	9
8	GKS Katowice	5	2	1	2	+3	+3.5	7
9	Motor Lublin	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.5	7
10	Korona Kielce	6	1	3	2	-6	-4.7	6
11	Gornik Zabrze	6	1	2	3	-3	-2.0	5
12	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	1	4	-6	-5.9	4
13	Zaglebie	6	1	1	4	-8	-3.1	4
14	Radomiak Radom	5	1	0	4	-5	-3.1	3
15	Puszcza	5	0	2	3	-5	-3.6	2
16	Stal Mielec	4	0	1	3	-4	-4.4	1
17	Slask Wroclaw	5	0	1	4	-6	-1.4	1
18	Pogon Szczecin	5	0	1	4	-6	-2.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.