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Ligue 2
Referee: R Chapapria
Lorient
S U T S S
4–2
Full-time
Annecy
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Annecy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
63%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
0,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
19 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 1
9 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 3. · Annecy 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 8 6 0 2 +7 18
2 Grenoble 9 5 1 3 +7 16
3 Lorient 8 5 1 2 +6 16
4 Dunkerque 9 5 1 3 +1 16
5 Metz 9 4 3 2 +7 15
6 Annecy 8 4 3 1 +5 15
7 Amiens 9 5 0 4 +2 15
8 Laval 9 4 2 3 +5 14
9 Pau FC 8 4 2 2 +3 14
10 Bastia 8 3 4 1 +2 13
11 Guingamp 9 4 1 4 +1 13
12 Ajaccio 9 3 2 4 -3 11
13 Rodez 9 3 0 6 -2 9
14 Clermont 9 2 3 4 -2 9
15 Caen 9 2 2 5 -6 8
16 Red Star 9 2 2 5 -8 8
17 Martigues 9 1 2 6 -15 5
18 Troyes 8 1 1 6 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lorient Annecy
7′
K. Djoco 0–1
A. Larose
36′
🟨 Florian Escales
40′
🟨 Vincent Pajot
Half-time 1–1
1–1 E. Kroupi
M. Bamba
55′
62′
🔁 T. Dago
↦ K. Djoco
62′
🔁 A. Bermont
↦ A. Larose
J. Mvuka 🔁
↦ P. Katseris
63′
2–1 J. Mvuka
D. Yongwa
70′
S. Soumano 🔁
↦ M. Bamba
71′
Eli Junior Kroupi 🟨
72′
3–1 E. Kroupi
L. Abergel
74′
75′
🔁 F. Lajugie
↦ F. Nsakala
75′
🔁 W. Tiendrébéogo
↦ Y. Demoncy
76′
🔁 K. Cissé
↦ C. Billemaz
F. Mendy 🔁
↦ G. Kalulu
85′
A. Tosin 🔁
↦ E. Kroupi
85′
4–1 S. Soumano
D. Yongwa
88′
92′
T. Dago 4–2
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Lorient

4-4-2
38 Y. Mvogo G
24 G. Kalulu D
32 N. Adjei D
3 M. Talbi D
44 D. Yongwa D
77 P. Katseris M
6 L. Abergel M
62 A. Avom M
21 J. Ponceau M
9 M. Bamba F
22 E. Kroupi F
Bench (7)
93 J. Mvuka
28 S. Soumano
5 F. Mendy
27 A. Tosin
66 I. James
60 E. Genton
1 B. Leroy

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Annecy

4-2-3-1
1 F. Escales G
41 T. Delphis D
18 A. Drouhin D
2 H. Soukouna D
21 F. Nsakala D
17 V. Pajot M
5 A. Kashi M
28 A. Larose M
24 Y. Demoncy M
22 C. Billemaz M
10 K. Djoco F
Bench (7)
9 T. Dago
26 A. Bermont
6 F. Lajugie
20 W. Tiendrébéogo
23 K. Cissé
16 T. Callens
7 N. Lemina

Coach: L. Guyot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,51
U
4,18
B
5,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Chapapria · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.