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Ligue 2
Referee: A Taleb
Amiens
T S T S T
3–1
Full-time
Ajaccio
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
63%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
2,5
1,9
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 14
9 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 11. · Ajaccio 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 8 6 0 2 +7 18
2 Grenoble 9 5 1 3 +7 16
3 Lorient 8 5 1 2 +6 16
4 Dunkerque 9 5 1 3 +1 16
5 Metz 9 4 3 2 +7 15
6 Annecy 8 4 3 1 +5 15
7 Laval 9 4 2 3 +5 14
8 Pau FC 8 4 2 2 +3 14
9 Bastia 8 3 4 1 +2 13
10 Guingamp 9 4 1 4 +1 13
11 Amiens 8 4 0 4 +0 12
12 Ajaccio 8 3 2 3 -1 11
13 Rodez 9 3 0 6 -2 9
14 Clermont 9 2 3 4 -2 9
15 Caen 9 2 2 5 -6 8
16 Red Star 9 2 2 5 -8 8
17 Martigues 9 1 2 6 -15 5
18 Troyes 8 1 1 6 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Ajaccio
1–0 L. Mafouta
2′
33′
🟨 Ben Touré
2–0 K. Kaïboué
S. Corchia
38′
42′
M. Soumano 2–1
M. Huard
Half-time 2–1
F. Boya 🔁
↦ R. Lutin
50′
62′
🔁 C. Ibayi
↦ M. Puch-Herrantz
65′
🟨 Everson Junior
69′
🔁 I. Chegra
↦ B. Touré
M. Tine 🔁
↦ K. Kaïboué
74′
81′
🔁 Z. Beltaief
↦ R. Coutinho da Silva
81′
🔁 M. Youssouf
↦ M. Huard
O. Urhoghide 🔁
↦ S. Corchia
86′
A. Chibozo 🔁
↦ N. Kandil
87′
Mactar Tine 🟨
90′
3–1 L. Mafouta
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
14 S. Corchia D
34 S. Bakayoko D
2 M. Fofana D
19 R. Vita D
25 O. Géne M
20 K. Kaïboué M
7 A. Léautey M
27 R. Lutin M
10 N. Kandil M
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
29 F. Boya
58 M. Tine
5 O. Urhoghide
17 A. Chibozo
16 A. Sauvage
18 M. Manitu
13 M. Jaouab

Coach: O. Daf

Ajaccio

4-1-4-1
16 F. Sollacaro G
23 T. Strata D
31 J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze D
88 A. Bamba D
12 M. Huard D
17 Everson M
34 R. Coutinho da Silva M
25 J. Anziani M
8 M. Puch-Herrantz M
22 M. Soumano M
11 B. Touré F
Bench (7)
9 C. Ibayi
21 I. Chegra
37 Z. Beltaief
20 M. Youssouf
30 G. Quilichini
36 O. Martinez-Jullien
5 C. Vidal

Coach: M. Chabert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,17
U
2,88
B
3,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,67
U2,5
1,43
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Taleb · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.