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Serie B

Referee: G Collu

Cesena

T S S S T

2–0

Full-time

Catanzaro

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cesena Catanzaro

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%

12 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cesena 11. · Catanzaro 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggiana	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Salernitana	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Sudtirol	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Pisa	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Sassuolo	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Juve Stabia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Mantova	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Spezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Modena	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Cittadella	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Cesena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Carrarese	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Cosenza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Cremonese	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Brescia	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Palermo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Frosinone	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Bari	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Sudtirol	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Pisa	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Reggiana	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Spezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Modena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Frosinone	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Cittadella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Bari	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juve Stabia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	+0	3
4	Palermo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
5	Sassuolo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
6	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Mantova	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Modena	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Bari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Carrarese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.