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Serie B

Referee: D Perenzoni

Modena

T T U U U

1–3

Full-time

Catanzaro

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Catanzaro

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 36%

25%

47%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

44%

53%

Both score Ø 58%

63%

53%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

45% Possession 55%

15 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Modena 13. · Catanzaro 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	32	19	9	4	+25	66
2	Como	32	18	7	7	+13	61
3	Cremonese	32	17	8	7	+16	59
4	Venezia	32	17	7	8	+20	58
5	Catanzaro	32	15	7	10	+9	52
6	Palermo	32	14	8	10	+10	50
7	Sampdoria	32	13	7	12	+0	46
8	Brescia	32	11	12	9	+5	45
9	Cittadella	32	11	9	12	-3	42
10	Pisa	32	10	10	12	-3	40
11	Reggiana	32	8	16	8	-3	40
12	Sudtirol	32	10	9	13	-2	39
13	Modena	32	8	15	9	-5	39
14	Cosenza	32	8	11	13	-3	35
15	Bari	32	7	14	11	-9	35
16	Spezia	32	7	14	11	-13	35
17	Ternana	32	8	9	15	-8	33
18	Ascoli	32	7	11	14	-5	32
19	FeralpiSalo	32	8	7	17	-14	31
20	Lecco	32	5	8	19	-30	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Como	16	10	4	2	+11	34
2	Venezia	16	10	3	3	+12	33
3	Parma	16	9	6	1	+11	33
4	Catanzaro	16	8	3	5	+7	27
5	Cremonese	16	7	5	4	+8	26
6	Palermo	16	8	2	6	+7	26
7	Brescia	16	6	6	4	+4	24
8	Cittadella	16	7	3	6	+3	24
9	Sudtirol	16	6	4	6	+2	22
10	Bari	16	5	7	4	+0	22
11	Pisa	16	5	6	5	+1	21
12	Sampdoria	16	6	3	7	+0	21
13	Modena	16	5	5	6	-1	20
14	Ascoli	16	4	7	5	+3	19
15	Ternana	17	4	7	6	+0	19
16	Spezia	16	4	7	5	-1	19
17	Cosenza	16	4	5	7	+1	17
18	Reggiana	16	2	10	4	-5	16
19	FeralpiSalo	16	3	4	9	-5	13
20	Lecco	15	3	2	10	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	16	10	3	3	+14	33
2	Cremonese	16	10	3	3	+8	33
3	Como	16	8	3	5	+2	27
4	Venezia	16	7	4	5	+8	25
5	Catanzaro	16	7	4	5	+2	25
6	Sampdoria	16	7	4	5	+0	25
7	Palermo	16	6	6	4	+3	24
8	Reggiana	16	6	6	4	+2	24
9	Brescia	16	5	6	5	+1	21
10	Modena	16	3	10	3	-4	19
11	Pisa	16	5	4	7	-4	19
12	Cosenza	16	4	6	6	-4	18
13	Cittadella	16	4	6	6	-6	18
14	FeralpiSalo	16	5	3	8	-9	18
15	Sudtirol	16	4	5	7	-4	17
16	Spezia	16	3	7	6	-12	16
17	Ternana	15	4	2	9	-8	14
18	Ascoli	16	3	4	9	-8	13
19	Bari	16	2	7	7	-9	13
20	Lecco	17	2	6	9	-17	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.