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Serie B
Referee: I Pezzuto
Sampdoria
S S T S S
2–3
Full-time
FeralpiSalo
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria FeralpiSalo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
41%
12%
Points per game
1,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 56%
65%
47%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 10. · FeralpiSalo 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 18 11 5 2 +18 38
2 Venezia 18 10 4 4 +11 34
3 Cremonese 18 9 5 4 +13 32
4 Cittadella 18 9 5 4 +5 32
5 Como 18 9 5 4 +3 32
6 Catanzaro 18 9 3 6 +5 30
7 Palermo 18 8 5 5 +8 29
8 Modena 18 7 6 5 -3 27
9 Brescia 18 6 7 5 +2 25
10 Sampdoria 17 7 3 7 +0 24
11 Bari 17 4 9 4 -2 21
12 Sudtirol 17 5 5 7 +0 20
13 Cosenza 17 5 5 7 -1 20
14 Pisa 17 4 6 7 -4 18
15 Ternana 18 4 5 9 -4 17
16 Reggiana 17 3 8 6 -5 17
17 Lecco 18 4 5 9 -10 17
18 Ascoli 17 4 4 9 -6 16
19 Spezia 18 3 7 8 -11 16
20 FeralpiSalo 17 2 4 11 -19 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria FeralpiSalo
3′
🟨 Luca Ceppitelli
13′
F. Bergonzi 0–1
Valerio Verre 🟨
15′
22′
K. Butić 0–2
F. Bergonzi
1–2 S. Esposito
M. De Luca
27′
Pajtim Kasami ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
31′
Pajtim Kasami 🟥
32′
42′
🟨 Karlo Butić
Half-time 1–2
L. Benedetti 🔁
↦ V. Verre
46′
52′
🟨 Davide Balestrero
2–2 N. Murru
54′
56′
🔁 A. La Mantia
↦ K. Butić
57′
🔁 G. Letizia
↦ M. Felici
60′
🟨 Andrea La Mantia
71′
🟨 Christos Kourfalidis
S. Girelli 🔁
↦ S. Giordano
73′
73′
🔁 M. Zennaro
↦ D. Di Molfetta
73′
🔁 V. Parigini
↦ D. Balestrero
M. Ricci 🔁
↦ Gerard Yepes
80′
81′
M. Zennaro 2–3
S. Ntanda 🔁
↦ M. De Luca
88′
89′
🔁 A. Pietrelli
↦ M. Compagnon
Sebastiano Esposito ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
91′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-3-2-1
1 F. Stanković G
23 F. Depaoli D
87 D. Ghilardi D
33 F. González D
29 N. Murru D
14 P. Kasami M
28 Gerard Yepes M
21 S. Giordano M
7 S. Esposito M
10 V. Verre M
9 M. De Luca F
Bench (12)
80 L. Benedetti
32 S. Girelli
8 M. Ricci
43 S. Ntanda
77 M. Delle Monache
5 K. Askildsen
13 A. Conti
17 L. Malagrida
40 P. Stojanović
35 Hugo Buyla
6 S. Panada
22 N. Ravaglia

Coach: A. Pirlo

FeralpiSalo

3-5-2
1 S. Pizzignacco G
8 D. Balestrero D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
87 B. Martella D
66 F. Bergonzi M
39 C. Kourfalidis M
16 L. Fiordilino M
10 D. Di Molfetta M
97 M. Felici M
14 M. Compagnon F
9 K. Butić F
Bench (12)
91 A. La Mantia
94 G. Letizia
20 M. Zennaro
70 V. Parigini
99 A. Pietrelli
27 D. Hergheligiu
34 S. Minelli
3 M. Tonetto
61 G. Volpe
25 M. Sau
31 M. Camporese
19 A. Pilati

Coach: M. Zaffaroni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,60
U
3,80
B ✓
5,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Pezzuto · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.