Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Venezia
Sampdoria
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Milan
|
30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | +27 | 66 |
| 2 |
Napoli
|
30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | +31 | 63 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | +38 | 60 |
| 4 |
Juventus
|
29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | +19 | 56 |
| 5 |
Lazio
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +16 | 49 |
| 6 |
Atalanta
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +19 | 48 |
| 7 |
Roma
|
29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +12 | 48 |
| 8 |
Fiorentina
|
29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +10 | 47 |
| 9 |
Sassuolo
|
30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +6 | 43 |
| 10 |
Verona
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +8 | 41 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 35 |
| 12 |
Bologna
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 |
Empoli
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 |
Udinese
|
28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 |
Spezia
|
30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | -23 | 29 |
| 16 |
Sampdoria
|
29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -14 | 26 |
| 17 |
Cagliari
|
30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -26 | 25 |
| 18 |
Genoa
|
30 | 2 | 16 | 12 | -24 | 22 |
| 19 |
Venezia
|
28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -27 | 22 |
| 20 |
Salernitana
|
27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | -41 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Haps
D
P. Ceccaroni
D
E. Ampadu
M
D. Okereke
M
Coach: P. Zanetti
E. Audero
G
B. Bereszyński
D
A. Ferrari
D
M. Thorsby
M
A. Sabiri
F
Coach: M. Giampaolo
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lazio
Venezia
Venezia
Sassuolo
Verona
Venezia
Venezia
Genoa
Torino
Venezia
D Orsato · 98 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.