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Serie B
Referee: A Santoro
Ascoli
T T U T T
1–0
Full-time
Catanzaro
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Catanzaro
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
19%
56%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%
10 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 19
6 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ascoli 19. · Catanzaro 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 16 10 4 2 +16 34
2 Venezia 17 10 3 4 +11 33
3 Como 17 9 4 4 +3 31
4 Catanzaro 16 9 3 4 +7 30
5 Cremonese 17 8 5 4 +9 29
6 Cittadella 17 8 5 4 +2 29
7 Modena 17 7 6 4 +1 27
8 Palermo 16 7 4 5 +7 25
9 Sampdoria 17 7 3 7 +0 24
10 Brescia 17 5 7 5 +1 22
11 Bari 17 4 9 4 -2 21
12 Sudtirol 17 5 5 7 +0 20
13 Cosenza 16 5 4 7 -1 19
14 Pisa 16 4 6 6 -3 18
15 Reggiana 17 3 8 6 -5 17
16 Spezia 17 3 7 7 -8 16
17 Lecco 16 4 4 8 -9 16
18 Ternana 16 3 5 8 -3 14
19 Ascoli 16 3 4 9 -7 13
20 FeralpiSalo 17 2 4 11 -19 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ascoli Catanzaro
1–0 Pedro Mendes
Pablo Rodríguez
14′
Eric Botteghin 🟨
25′
Nicola Falasco 🟨
36′
Pablo Rodríguez 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🟨 Tommaso Biasci
Francesco Di Tacchio 🟨
60′
65′
🔁 S. Pontisso
↦ M. Pompetti
65′
🔁 M. Šitum
↦ P. Katseris
65′
🔁 E. Brignola
↦ D. Sounas
Samuel Giovane 🟨
66′
T. Milanese 🔁
↦ S. Giovane
74′
75′
🟨 Nicolò Brighenti
75′
🔁 L. D'Andrea
↦ G. Ambrosino
Giuseppe Bellusci 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 Jari Vandeputte
G. Manzari 🔁
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
83′
86′
🔁 A. Oliveri
↦ J. Vandeputte
88′
🟨 Andrea Oliveri
C. Adjapong 🔁
↦ B. Bayeye
90′
95′
🟨 Stefano Scognamillo
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ascoli

3-4-1-2
2 E. Viviano G
55 G. Bellusci D
33 Eric Botteghin D
14 D. Quaranta D
40 B. Bayeye M
18 F. Di Tacchio M
8 S. Giovane M
54 N. Falasco M
73 P. Masini F
90 Pedro Mendes F
99 Pablo Rodríguez F
Bench (12)
20 T. Milanese
28 G. Manzari
17 C. Adjapong
1 D. Barosi
7 V. Millico
96 E. Rossi
94 Y. Maiga
30 I. Nestorovski
5 E. Gnahoré
12 L. Bolletta
3 K. Haveri
15 S. D'Uffizi

Coach: F. Castori

Catanzaro

3-4-2-1
1 A. Fulignati G
14 S. Scognamillo D
23 N. Brighenti D
32 L. Krajnc D
77 P. Katseris M
21 M. Pompetti M
18 A. Ghion M
27 J. Vandeputte M
24 D. Sounas F
28 T. Biasci F
70 G. Ambrosino F
Bench (11)
20 S. Pontisso
92 M. Šitum
17 E. Brignola
7 L. D'Andrea
33 A. Oliveri
22 E. Borrelli
44 K. Miranda
8 L. Verna
16 A. Sala
5 D. Krastev
19 M. Stoppa

Coach: V. Vivarini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,74
U
3,06
B
2,70
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.