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Serie B
Referee: S Sozza
Pisa
S U U T T
1–0
Full-time
Ascoli
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Ascoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 24%
24%
24%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
41%
41%
Both score Ø 53%
59%
47%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
6 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pisa 14. · Ascoli 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 18 11 5 2 +18 38
2 Venezia 18 10 4 4 +11 34
3 Cremonese 18 9 5 4 +13 32
4 Cittadella 18 9 5 4 +5 32
5 Como 18 9 5 4 +3 32
6 Catanzaro 18 9 3 6 +5 30
7 Palermo 18 8 5 5 +8 29
8 Modena 18 7 6 5 -3 27
9 Brescia 18 6 7 5 +2 25
10 Sampdoria 17 7 3 7 +0 24
11 Bari 17 4 9 4 -2 21
12 Sudtirol 17 5 5 7 +0 20
13 Cosenza 17 5 5 7 -1 20
14 Pisa 17 4 6 7 -4 18
15 Ternana 18 4 5 9 -4 17
16 Reggiana 17 3 8 6 -5 17
17 Lecco 18 4 5 9 -10 17
18 Ascoli 17 4 4 9 -6 16
19 Spezia 18 3 7 8 -11 16
20 FeralpiSalo 17 2 4 11 -19 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pisa Ascoli
Marco D'Alessandro 🟨
10′
Stefano Moreo 🟨
15′
1–0 J. Mlakar
M. Valoti
44′
Half-time 1–0
Antonio Caracciolo 🟨
46′
Tommaso Barbieri 🟨
55′
62′
🔁 S. D'Uffizi
↦ E. Gnahoré
66′
🟨 Samuel Giovane
69′
🟨 Danilo Quaranta
G. Piccinini 🔁
↦ M. Valoti
69′
Gabriele Piccinini 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 Y. Maiga
↦ S. Giovane
77′
🔁 G. Manzari
↦ N. Falasco
77′
🔁 K. Haveri
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
H. Hermannsson 🔁
↦ S. Moreo
80′
G. Masucci 🔁
↦ M. DAlessandro
80′
81′
🟨 Patrizio Masini
I. Touré 🔁
↦ J. Mlakar
89′
89′
🔁 V. Millico
↦ B. Bayeye
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Pisa

4-2-3-1
1 Nícolas G
42 T. Barbieri D
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
19 Tomás Esteves D
16 Á. Nagy M
44 Miguel Veloso M
77 M. D'Alessandro M
27 M. Valoti M
17 J. Mlakar M
32 S. Moreo F
Bench (12)
36 G. Piccinini
6 H. Hermannsson
26 G. Masucci
15 I. Touré
22 L. Loria
3 M. Leverbe
28 A. Arena
7 L. Tramoni
10 E. Torregrossa
23 E. Vignato
9 E. Gliozzi
30 A. De Vitis

Coach: A. Aquilani

Ascoli

3-5-2
2 E. Viviano G
17 C. Adjapong D
33 Eric Botteghin D
14 D. Quaranta D
40 B. Bayeye M
73 P. Masini M
5 E. Gnahoré M
8 S. Giovane M
54 N. Falasco M
99 Pablo Rodríguez F
90 Pedro Mendes F
Bench (9)
15 S. D'Uffizi
94 Y. Maiga
28 G. Manzari
3 K. Haveri
7 V. Millico
1 D. Barosi
97 D. Amato
96 E. Rossi
20 T. Milanese

Coach: F. Castori

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
U
3,18
B
3,87
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,38
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.