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Serie B

Referee: M Fabbri

Palermo

T U T U U

2–1

Full-time

Spal

U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 25%

29%

20%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

37%

Both score Ø 53%

54%

51%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%

10 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 11. · Spal 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	36	22	8	6	+35	74
2	Genoa	36	20	11	5	+25	71
3	Bari	36	16	14	6	+21	62
4	Sudtirol	36	14	15	7	+5	57
5	Cagliari	36	13	15	8	+14	54
6	Parma	35	14	10	11	+5	52
7	Reggina	36	16	4	16	+4	52
8	Pisa	36	11	13	12	+7	46
9	Venezia	36	12	10	14	+1	46
10	Ascoli	36	12	10	14	-6	46
11	Palermo	35	10	15	10	-1	45
12	Modena	36	12	9	15	-6	45
13	Como	36	9	16	11	-3	43
14	Ternana	36	11	10	15	-12	43
15	Cittadella	36	9	14	13	-11	41
16	Cosenza	36	9	12	15	-22	39
17	Brescia	35	9	11	15	-19	38
18	Perugia	36	9	9	18	-12	36
19	Spal	35	7	14	14	-9	35
20	Benevento	36	6	14	16	-16	32

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	18	13	3	2	+23	42
2	Genoa	18	11	6	1	+18	39
3	Cagliari	18	10	6	2	+10	36
4	Parma	17	9	2	6	+7	29
5	Reggina	18	9	2	7	+5	29
6	Ternana	18	8	5	5	+1	29
7	Palermo	17	7	7	3	+7	28
8	Como	18	7	7	4	+6	28
9	Cosenza	18	7	7	4	+3	28
10	Bari	18	6	9	3	+10	27
11	Sudtirol	18	6	9	3	+3	27
12	Pisa	18	7	5	6	+7	26
13	Modena	18	6	8	4	+7	26
14	Venezia	18	6	5	7	+1	23
15	Ascoli	18	6	5	7	-2	23
16	Brescia	18	6	5	7	-5	23
17	Cittadella	18	5	7	6	-3	22
18	Perugia	18	5	6	7	-5	21
19	Spal	18	4	7	7	-1	19
20	Benevento	18	3	6	9	-10	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	18	10	5	3	+11	35
2	Frosinone	18	9	5	4	+12	32
3	Genoa	18	9	5	4	+7	32
4	Sudtirol	18	8	6	4	+2	30
5	Venezia	18	6	5	7	+0	23
6	Reggina	18	7	2	9	-1	23
7	Parma	18	5	8	5	-2	23
8	Ascoli	18	6	5	7	-4	23
9	Pisa	18	4	8	6	+0	20
10	Cittadella	18	4	7	7	-8	19
11	Modena	18	6	1	11	-13	19
12	Cagliari	18	3	9	6	+4	18
13	Benevento	18	3	8	7	-6	17
14	Palermo	18	3	8	7	-8	17
15	Spal	17	3	7	7	-8	16
16	Perugia	18	4	3	11	-7	15
17	Como	18	2	9	7	-9	15
18	Brescia	17	3	6	8	-14	15
19	Ternana	18	3	5	10	-13	14
20	Cosenza	18	2	5	11	-25	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.