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Serie B

Referee: L Massimi

Parma

S T U T S

0–1

Full-time

Spal

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 30%

41%

18%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

41%

35%

Both score Ø 47%

47%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

22 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

17 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Parma 6. · Spal 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	17	11	3	3	+15	36
2	Reggina	18	10	3	5	+13	33
3	Bari	18	7	9	2	+12	30
4	Genoa	17	7	6	4	+5	27
5	Pisa	18	6	8	4	+9	26
6	Parma	17	7	5	5	+6	26
7	Ternana	17	7	5	5	+2	26
8	Brescia	18	6	6	6	-6	24
9	Sudtirol	17	5	8	4	-3	23
10	Ascoli	17	5	7	5	+0	22
11	Cagliari	17	5	7	5	-1	22
12	Benevento	17	5	6	6	-1	21
13	Modena	17	6	3	8	-2	21
14	Palermo	17	5	5	7	-4	20
15	Venezia	17	5	4	8	-4	19
16	Cittadella	17	4	7	6	-7	19
17	Spal	17	3	8	6	-2	17
18	Cosenza	17	4	5	8	-11	17
19	Como	17	3	7	7	-10	16
20	Perugia	17	3	4	10	-11	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	8	6	2	0	+10	20
2	Reggina	9	5	2	2	+10	17
3	Pisa	9	5	2	2	+9	17
4	Parma	9	5	1	3	+4	16
5	Ternana	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	Brescia	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Cagliari	9	4	3	2	+0	15
8	Sudtirol	9	2	6	1	+1	12
9	Palermo	9	3	3	3	+1	12
10	Como	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Bari	8	2	5	1	+5	11
12	Modena	8	3	2	3	+3	11
13	Spal	9	3	2	4	+2	11
14	Genoa	8	2	5	1	+2	11
15	Cosenza	8	3	2	3	+1	11
16	Ascoli	9	2	4	3	-2	10
17	Cittadella	8	2	4	2	-3	10
18	Benevento	9	2	3	4	-3	9
19	Perugia	8	2	2	4	-5	8
20	Venezia	9	2	1	6	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	10	5	4	1	+7	19
2	Frosinone	9	5	1	3	+5	16
3	Reggina	9	5	1	3	+3	16
4	Genoa	9	5	1	3	+3	16
5	Venezia	8	3	3	2	+2	12
6	Ascoli	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Benevento	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Ternana	9	3	2	4	-3	11
9	Sudtirol	8	3	2	3	-4	11
10	Parma	8	2	4	2	+2	10
11	Modena	9	3	1	5	-5	10
12	Pisa	9	1	6	2	+0	9
13	Cittadella	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Brescia	9	2	3	4	-8	9
15	Palermo	8	2	2	4	-5	8
16	Cagliari	8	1	4	3	-1	7
17	Spal	8	0	6	2	-4	6
18	Cosenza	9	1	3	5	-12	6
19	Perugia	9	1	2	6	-6	5
20	Como	8	0	4	4	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.