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Serie B

Referee: G Manganiello

Spal

T U S U U

1–1

Full-time

Perugia

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 24%

21%

26%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

38%

Both score Ø 44%

50%

38%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

12 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 7

3 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spal 19. · Perugia 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	34	20	8	6	+31	68
2	Genoa	34	19	10	5	+24	67
3	Bari	34	16	12	6	+21	60
4	Sudtirol	34	13	14	7	+4	53
5	Parma	34	14	9	11	+5	51
6	Reggina	34	15	4	15	+5	49
7	Cagliari	34	11	15	8	+8	48
8	Pisa	34	11	13	10	+10	46
9	Modena	34	12	8	14	-1	44
10	Palermo	34	10	14	10	-1	44
11	Ascoli	34	11	10	13	-6	43
12	Ternana	34	11	10	13	-10	43
13	Como	34	9	15	10	-2	42
14	Venezia	34	11	9	14	-4	42
15	Cosenza	34	9	11	14	-21	38
16	Cittadella	34	8	13	13	-13	37
17	Perugia	34	9	8	17	-7	35
18	Brescia	34	8	11	15	-20	35
19	Spal	34	7	13	14	-9	34
20	Benevento	34	6	13	15	-14	31

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	17	12	3	2	+21	39
2	Genoa	17	10	6	1	+17	36
3	Cagliari	17	9	6	2	+9	33
4	Parma	17	9	2	6	+7	29
5	Ternana	17	8	5	4	+2	29
6	Palermo	17	7	7	3	+7	28
7	Como	17	7	6	4	+6	27
8	Cosenza	17	7	6	4	+3	27
9	Bari	17	6	8	3	+10	26
10	Pisa	17	7	5	5	+9	26
11	Reggina	17	8	2	7	+4	26
12	Sudtirol	17	6	8	3	+3	26
13	Modena	17	6	7	4	+7	25
14	Perugia	17	5	6	6	+0	21
15	Ascoli	17	5	5	7	-3	20
16	Venezia	17	5	5	7	-4	20
17	Brescia	17	5	5	7	-6	20
18	Cittadella	17	4	7	6	-5	19
19	Spal	17	4	6	7	-1	18
20	Benevento	17	3	5	9	-10	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	17	10	4	3	+11	34
2	Genoa	17	9	4	4	+7	31
3	Frosinone	17	8	5	4	+10	29
4	Sudtirol	17	7	6	4	+1	27
5	Reggina	17	7	2	8	+1	23
6	Ascoli	17	6	5	6	-3	23
7	Venezia	17	6	4	7	+0	22
8	Parma	17	5	7	5	-2	22
9	Pisa	17	4	8	5	+1	20
10	Modena	17	6	1	10	-8	19
11	Cittadella	17	4	6	7	-8	18
12	Benevento	17	3	8	6	-4	17
13	Palermo	17	3	7	7	-8	16
14	Spal	17	3	7	7	-8	16
15	Cagliari	17	2	9	6	-1	15
16	Como	17	2	9	6	-8	15
17	Brescia	17	3	6	8	-14	15
18	Perugia	17	4	2	11	-7	14
19	Ternana	17	3	5	9	-12	14
20	Cosenza	17	2	5	10	-24	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.