Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Brescia
Genoa
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | +32 | 69 |
| 2 |
Lazio
|
27 | 19 | 5 | 3 | +36 | 62 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | +26 | 58 |
| 4 |
Atalanta
|
27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | +40 | 54 |
| 5 |
Roma
|
27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | +17 | 48 |
| 6 |
Napoli
|
27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | +7 | 42 |
| 7 |
Parma
|
27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 39 |
| 8 |
Milan
|
27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 |
Verona
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 38 |
| 10 |
Cagliari
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | +1 | 35 |
| 11 |
Bologna
|
27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | -6 | 34 |
| 12 |
Sassuolo
|
27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 |
Fiorentina
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 31 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | -16 | 31 |
| 15 |
Udinese
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -17 | 28 |
| 16 |
Sampdoria
|
27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -18 | 26 |
| 17 |
Genoa
|
27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -19 | 25 |
| 18 |
Lecce
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -29 | 25 |
| 19 |
Spal
|
27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | -25 | 18 |
| 20 |
Brescia
|
27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | -27 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Fiorentina
Brescia
Sassuolo
Brescia
Brescia
Napoli
Juventus
Brescia
Brescia
Udinese
M Irrati · 54 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.