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Serie A
Referee: M Irrati
Brescia
U T T T U
2–2
Full-time
Genoa
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 19%
15%
22%
Points per game
0,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
59%
74%
Both score Ø 60%
52%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%
6 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 20. · Genoa 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 28 22 3 3 +32 69
2 Lazio 27 19 5 3 +36 62
3 Inter 27 17 7 3 +26 58
4 Atalanta 27 16 6 5 +40 54
5 Roma 27 14 6 7 +17 48
6 Napoli 27 12 6 9 +7 42
7 Parma 27 11 6 10 +4 39
8 Milan 27 11 6 10 -3 39
9 Verona 27 10 8 9 +2 38
10 Cagliari 27 9 8 10 +1 35
11 Bologna 27 9 7 11 -6 34
12 Sassuolo 27 9 6 12 -1 33
13 Fiorentina 27 7 10 10 -4 31
14 Torino 27 9 4 14 -16 31
15 Udinese 27 7 7 13 -17 28
16 Sampdoria 27 7 5 15 -18 26
17 Genoa 27 6 7 14 -19 25
18 Lecce 28 6 7 15 -29 25
19 Spal 27 5 3 19 -25 18
20 Brescia 27 4 5 18 -27 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Oct -19 Genoa – Brescia 3–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,00
U ✓
3,42
B
2,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,95
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Irrati · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.