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Serie B
Referee: M Irrati
Venezia
S U U T T
1–1
Full-time
Brescia
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 23%
25%
21%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
46%
29%
Both score Ø 52%
61%
43%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Venezia 16. · Brescia 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 28 19 4 5 +30 61
2 Genoa 28 14 9 5 +16 51
3 Bari 28 13 10 5 +18 49
4 Sudtirol 28 12 11 5 +4 47
5 Pisa 28 10 12 6 +12 42
6 Reggina 28 13 3 12 +8 42
7 Cagliari 29 10 12 7 +5 42
8 Parma 28 11 7 10 +4 40
9 Palermo 28 9 11 8 -2 38
10 Ascoli 29 9 9 11 -5 36
11 Ternana 28 9 9 10 -7 36
12 Modena 28 10 5 13 +0 35
13 Como 28 8 11 9 -3 35
14 Cittadella 28 8 10 10 -9 34
15 Perugia 28 8 6 14 -4 30
16 Venezia 28 7 8 13 -9 29
17 Spal 28 6 10 12 -8 28
18 Benevento 28 6 10 12 -8 28
19 Brescia 28 6 9 13 -18 27
20 Cosenza 28 6 8 14 -24 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Venezia Brescia
Antonio Candela 🟨
12′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Pohjanpalo
A. Candela
50′
56′
🔁 E. Ndoj
↦ J. Björkengren
Luca Ceppitelli 🟨
58′
61′
T. van de Looi 1–1
D. Johnsen 🔁
↦ N. Pierini
62′
M. Ellertsson 🔁
↦ D. Cheryshev
62′
70′
🔁 F. Bianchi
↦ F. Ayé
M. Kofod Andersen 🔁
↦ T. Milanese
72′
A. Novakovich 🔁
↦ A. Candela
81′
81′
🔁 J. Łabojko
↦ T. van de Looi
81′
🔁 M. Listkowski
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
94′
🟨 Dimitri Bisoli
94′
🟨 Matthieu Huard
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Venezia

3-4-1-2
66 J. Joronen G
55 P. Hristov D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
44 A. Carboni D
27 A. Candela M
62 T. Milanese M
8 T. Tessmann M
7 F. Zampano M
21 D. Cheryshev F
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
25 N. Pierini F
Bench (11)
17 D. Johnsen
77 M. Ellertsson
38 M. Kofod Andersen
11 A. Novakovich
12 Bruno
24 F. Neri
33 M. Šverko
80 K. Jónsson
13 M. Modolo
19 R. Ciervo
30 M. Svoboda

Coach: P. Vanoli

Brescia

4-1-4-1
1 L. Andrenacci G
18 A. Jallow D
32 A. Papetti D
4 D. Adorni D
3 M. Huard D
5 T. van de Looi M
25 D. Bisoli M
6 N. Galazzi M
23 J. Björkengren M
9 Pablo Rodríguez M
11 F. Ayé F
Bench (9)
8 E. Ndoj
24 F. Bianchi
21 J. Łabojko
29 M. Listkowski
31 M. Scavone
16 Adryan
14 M. Mangraviti
2 F. Karačić
12 L. Lezzerini

Coach: D. Gastaldello

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
U ✓
3,19
B
4,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Irrati · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.