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Serie B
Referee: G Miele
Frosinone
S S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Cittadella
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 48%
70%
26%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
43%
30%
Both score Ø 35%
35%
35%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
0,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%
20 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Frosinone 1. · Cittadella 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 23 16 3 4 +23 51
2 Genoa 24 12 7 5 +9 43
3 Reggina 23 12 3 8 +12 39
4 Sudtirol 23 10 8 5 +1 38
5 Bari 23 9 9 5 +13 36
6 Palermo 24 9 7 8 -2 34
7 Parma 23 9 6 8 +4 33
8 Ternana 23 9 6 8 -3 33
9 Cagliari 23 8 8 7 +1 32
10 Pisa 23 7 10 6 +8 31
11 Modena 23 9 4 10 +2 31
12 Cittadella 23 6 9 8 -7 27
13 Ascoli 23 6 8 9 -4 26
14 Perugia 23 7 5 11 -4 26
15 Como 23 6 8 9 -8 26
16 Brescia 23 6 7 10 -14 25
17 Spal 23 5 9 9 -3 24
18 Venezia 23 6 6 11 -6 24
19 Benevento 23 5 8 10 -6 23
20 Cosenza 23 5 7 11 -16 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Frosinone Cittadella
26′
🟨 Federico Giraudo
1–0 L. Moro
27′
29′
🟥 Romano Perticone
34′
🔁 D. Del Fabro
↦ V. Mastrantonio
38′
🟨 Giovanni Crociata
M. Rohdén 🔁
↦ K. Lulić
42′
Half-time 1–0
Luca Garritano 🟨
48′
2–0 R. Insigne
G. Caso
49′
58′
🔁 T. Maistrello
↦ I. Lores
58′
🔁 N. Pavan
↦ G. Crociata
59′
🔁 A. Magrassi
↦ G. Ambrosino
J. Báez 🔁
↦ G. Caso
61′
S. Mulattieri 🔁
↦ L. Moro
61′
B. Kone 🔁
↦ L. Garritano
62′
Fabio Lucioni 🟨
73′
S. Bidaoui 🔁
↦ R. Insigne
78′
3–0 S. Mulattieri
J. Báez
80′
84′
🔁 A. Mattioli
↦ A. Salvi
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Frosinone

4-3-3
22 S. Turati G
31 M. Sampirisi D
5 F. Lucioni D
20 L. Ravanelli D
29 M. Cotali D
16 L. Garritano M
36 L. Mazzitelli M
8 K. Lulić M
94 R. Insigne F
24 L. Moro F
10 G. Caso F
Bench (12)
7 M. Rohdén
32 J. Báez
9 S. Mulattieri
4 B. Kone
26 S. Bidaoui
90 G. Borrelli
23 S. Kalaj
25 P. Szymiński
99 G. Frabotta
14 F. Gelli
30 I. Monterisi
12 G. Marcianò

Coach: F. Grosso

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
14 A. Salvi D
2 R. Perticone D
15 D. Frare D
98 F. Giraudo D
16 A. Vita M
23 S. Branca M
29 V. Mastrantonio M
21 G. Crociata M
30 I. Lores F
70 G. Ambrosino F
Bench (9)
5 D. Del Fabro
32 T. Maistrello
26 N. Pavan
99 A. Magrassi
18 A. Mattioli
20 G. Carriero
7 Carlos Embaló
77 L. Maniero
17 D. Donnarumma

Coach: E. Gorini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,70
U
3,43
B
5,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,31
U2,5
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Miele · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
30,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.