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Serie B
Referee: M Di Bello
Cittadella
S U U S T
3–2
Full-time
Reggina
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Reggina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
33%
54%
Both score Ø 36%
33%
38%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

64% Possession 36%
14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cittadella 15. · Reggina 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 24 17 3 4 +26 54
2 Genoa 24 12 7 5 +9 43
3 Bari 24 10 9 5 +14 39
4 Reggina 24 12 3 9 +10 39
5 Sudtirol 24 10 9 5 +1 39
6 Pisa 25 8 11 6 +10 35
7 Cagliari 24 9 8 7 +2 35
8 Parma 24 9 7 8 +4 34
9 Modena 24 10 4 10 +3 34
10 Palermo 24 9 7 8 -2 34
11 Ternana 24 9 7 8 -3 34
12 Ascoli 24 7 8 9 -3 29
13 Venezia 25 7 7 11 -5 28
14 Como 24 6 9 9 -8 27
15 Cittadella 24 6 9 9 -10 27
16 Perugia 24 7 5 12 -5 26
17 Brescia 24 6 7 11 -15 25
18 Spal 24 5 9 10 -4 24
19 Benevento 24 5 8 11 -7 23
20 Cosenza 24 5 7 12 -17 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Reggina
Luca Maniero 🟨
-5′
6′
🟨 Žan Majer
Simone Branca 🟨
9′
20′
G. Fabbian 0–1
Ž. Majer
26′
Hernani 0–2
J. Ménez
38′
🟨 Giovanni Fabbian
45′
🟨 Giovanni Fabbian
45′
🟥 Giovanni Fabbian
Half-time 0–2
G. Ambrosino 🔁
↦ A. Mattioli
46′
A. Magrassi 🔁
↦ V. Mastrantonio
46′
1–2 G. Crociata
46′
55′
🔁 L. Crisetig
↦ Ž. Majer
55′
🔁 D. Liotti
↦ L. Canotto
56′
🔁 G. Gori
↦ J. Ménez
57′
🟨 Lorenzo Crisetig
59′
🔁 G. Loiacono
↦ R. Rivas
G. Carriero 🔁
↦ S. Branca
63′
Raúl Asencio 🔁
↦ T. Maistrello
63′
66′
🟨 Thiago Cionek
2–2 G. Crociata
67′
72′
🔁 A. Lombardi
↦ Hernani
3–2 G. Carriero
G. Crociata
86′
Giuseppe Carriero 🟨
88′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
18 A. Mattioli D
26 N. Pavan D
15 D. Frare D
98 F. Giraudo D
16 A. Vita M
23 S. Branca M
29 V. Mastrantonio M
21 G. Crociata M
10 M. Antonucci F
32 T. Maistrello F
Bench (10)
70 G. Ambrosino
99 A. Magrassi
20 G. Carriero
90 Raúl Asencio
1 F. Manfrin
7 Carlos Embaló
77 L. Maniero
17 D. Donnarumma
19 V. Ciriello
3 G. Felicioli

Coach: E. Gorini

Reggina

4-3-2-1
1 N. Contini G
27 N. Pierozzi D
3 T. Cionek D
24 E. Terranova D
17 G. Di Chiara D
14 G. Fabbian M
37 Ž. Majer M
20 Hernani M
31 L. Canotto M
99 R. Rivas M
7 J. Ménez F
Bench (10)
8 L. Crisetig
94 D. Liotti
9 G. Gori
6 G. Loiacono
25 A. Lombardi
11 E. Cicerelli
12 T. Aglietti
22 S. Colombi
38 W. Bondo
19 D. Strelec

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,75
U
2,94
B
2,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,63
U2,5
1,47
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Di Bello · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.