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Serie B
Referee: A Prontera
Spal
T T U U S
0–1
Full-time
Pisa
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
22%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 23
5 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spal 15. · Pisa 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 18 11 3 4 +14 36
2 Reggina 18 10 3 5 +13 33
3 Bari 18 7 9 2 +12 30
4 Genoa 18 8 6 4 +6 30
5 Pisa 18 6 8 4 +9 26
6 Parma 18 7 5 6 +5 26
7 Sudtirol 18 6 8 4 -1 26
8 Ternana 18 7 5 6 -1 26
9 Ascoli 18 6 7 5 +2 25
10 Brescia 19 6 7 6 -6 25
11 Palermo 19 6 6 7 -3 24
12 Benevento 18 5 7 6 -1 22
13 Modena 18 6 4 8 -2 22
14 Cagliari 18 5 7 6 -2 22
15 Spal 18 4 8 6 -1 20
16 Venezia 18 5 4 9 -5 19
17 Como 18 4 7 7 -7 19
18 Cittadella 18 4 7 7 -9 19
19 Cosenza 18 4 5 9 -13 17
20 Perugia 18 4 4 10 -10 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spal Pisa
22′
🔁 G. Sibilli
↦ E. Torregrossa
28′
🟨 Marius Marin
33′
🟨 Pietro Beruatto
Alessandro Murgia 🟨
37′
Simone Rabbi ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
43′
Half-time 0–0
Biagio Meccariello 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 Tomás Esteves
↦ P. Beruatto
48′
🟨 Hjörtur Hermannsson
54′
G. Sibilli 0–1
61′
🔁 Á. Nagy
↦ I. Touré
61′
🔁 G. Mastinu
↦ A. De Vitis
Alessandro Murgia 🟨
62′
Alessandro Murgia 🟥
62′
65′
🟨 Giuseppe Mastinu
A. La Mantia 🔁
↦ F. Maistro
65′
F. Proia 🔁
↦ M. Prati
70′
N. Rauti 🔁
↦ S. Rabbi
78′
G. Tunjov 🔁
↦ L. Dickmann
78′
78′
🔁 G. Masucci
↦ E. Gliozzi
80′
🟨 Federico Barba
Alessandro Tripaldelli 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 Olimpiu Moruțan
Andrea La Mantia 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Spal

3-4-2-1
1 E. Alfonso G
27 P. Peda D
13 M. Varnier D
6 B. Meccariello D
24 L. Dickmann M
20 M. Prati M
23 A. Murgia M
3 A. Tripaldelli M
16 L. Valzania F
37 F. Maistro F
99 S. Rabbi F
Bench (12)
19 A. La Mantia
8 F. Proia
32 N. Rauti
40 G. Tunjov
18 M. Arena
10 N. Zanellato
15 F. Saiani
2 A. Fiordaliso
22 D. Thiam
14 F. Zuculini
29 A. Almici
11 M. Finotto

Coach: D. De Rossi

Pisa

4-3-1-2
22 A. Livieri G
33 A. Calabresi D
6 H. Hermannsson D
93 F. Barba D
20 P. Beruatto D
15 I. Touré M
30 A. De Vitis M
8 M. Marin M
80 O. Moruțan M
9 E. Gliozzi F
10 E. Torregrossa F
Bench (12)
17 G. Sibilli
19 Tomás Esteves
16 Á. Nagy
18 G. Mastinu
26 G. Masucci
1 Nícolas
27 M. Tramoni
7 R. Jureškin
44 A. Rus
23 A. Ioniţă
5 S. Canestrelli
77 L. Tramoni

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,68
U
3,05
B ✓
2,73
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Prontera · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.