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Ligue 2

Referee: M Lesage

Metz

S U T U U

3–1

Full-time

Paris FC

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Paris FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,0

1,7

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 50%

44%

56%

Points per game

1,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

28%

44%

Both score Ø 42%

44%

39%

Average goals

2,1

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%

10 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 5. · Paris FC 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	18	10	4	4	+13	34
2	Paris FC	18	10	4	4	+11	34
3	Dunkerque	18	10	3	5	+5	33
4	Guingamp	19	10	2	7	+10	32
5	Metz	18	8	7	3	+11	31
6	Annecy	18	8	6	4	+3	30
7	Laval	18	8	5	5	+10	29
8	Grenoble	19	8	3	8	+1	27
9	Pau FC	19	7	6	6	+1	27
10	Amiens	19	8	2	9	-4	26
11	Bastia	19	5	10	4	+4	25
12	Rodez	19	6	5	8	-1	23
13	Clermont	18	6	5	7	-3	23
14	Red Star	19	6	4	9	-12	22
15	Troyes	18	6	3	9	-2	21
16	Ajaccio	19	5	3	11	-11	18
17	Caen	19	4	3	12	-9	15
18	Martigues	19	3	3	13	-27	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	9	8	1	0	+16	25
2	Dunkerque	9	8	0	1	+9	24
3	Guingamp	10	6	2	2	+14	20
4	Grenoble	10	6	2	2	+7	20
5	Amiens	10	6	2	2	+4	20
6	Metz	9	5	4	0	+11	19
7	Annecy	9	6	1	2	+6	19
8	Pau FC	9	5	3	1	+7	18
9	Bastia	9	4	5	0	+8	17
10	Paris FC	9	5	2	2	+4	17
11	Ajaccio	10	5	2	3	+3	17
12	Laval	9	4	3	2	+4	15
13	Rodez	9	4	1	4	+0	13
14	Troyes	8	3	2	3	+1	11
15	Caen	10	3	2	5	-2	11
16	Red Star	9	3	2	4	-6	11
17	Clermont	9	2	4	3	+1	10
18	Martigues	10	0	1	9	-17	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	9	5	2	2	+7	17
2	Laval	9	4	2	3	+6	14
3	Clermont	9	4	1	4	-4	13
4	Metz	9	3	3	3	+0	12
5	Guingamp	9	4	0	5	-4	12
6	Annecy	9	2	5	2	-3	11
7	Red Star	10	3	2	5	-6	11
8	Martigues	9	3	2	4	-10	11
9	Rodez	10	2	4	4	-1	10
10	Troyes	10	3	1	6	-3	10
11	Lorient	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Dunkerque	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Pau FC	10	2	3	5	-6	9
14	Bastia	10	1	5	4	-4	8
15	Grenoble	9	2	1	6	-6	7
16	Amiens	9	2	0	7	-8	6
17	Caen	9	1	1	7	-7	4
18	Ajaccio	9	0	1	8	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.