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Championship
Referee: L Smith
Coventry
S U U T U
1–0
Full-time
Bristol City
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
28%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
56%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,91 xG 0,76
55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
4 Offside 4
3 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Coventry 17. · Bristol City 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leeds 26 15 8 3 +29 +27.8 53
2 Burnley 27 14 11 2 +22 +4.7 53
3 Sunderland 25 14 8 3 +18 +8.9 50
4 Sheffield United 24 14 6 4 +17 +9.8 48
5 Blackburn 26 12 6 8 +8 +0.9 42
6 Middlesbrough 26 11 8 7 +11 +13.7 41
7 West Brom 26 9 13 4 +11 +4.4 40
8 Watford 26 11 5 10 -1 -3.8 38
9 Bristol City 25 9 10 6 +4 +5.3 37
10 Sheffield Weds 26 10 7 9 -2 -4.5 37
11 Norwich 26 9 9 8 +6 +7.4 36
12 QPR 27 8 11 8 -4 -4.0 35
13 Swansea 27 9 7 11 -3 +1.1 34
14 Millwall 26 7 9 10 +0 +6.0 30
15 Preston 26 6 12 8 -6 -0.7 30
16 Oxford 26 7 8 11 -12 -14.7 29
17 Coventry 25 7 7 11 -3 +14.2 28
18 Derby 26 7 6 13 -4 -4.1 27
19 Stoke 26 6 9 11 -8 -12.6 27
20 Cardiff 27 6 9 12 -12 -10.9 27
21 Hull 27 6 8 13 -10 -3.9 26
22 Luton 26 7 4 15 -17 -3.6 25
23 Portsmouth 25 5 8 12 -14 -14.0 23
24 Plymouth 27 4 9 14 -30 -27.3 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Coventry Bristol City
Half-time 1–0
1–0 B. Thomas-Asante
J. Rudoni
62′
64′
🔁 S. Bell
↦ A. Mehmeti
64′
🔁 M. Sykes
↦ R. McCrorie
J. Eccles 🔁
↦ J. Rudoni
72′
78′
🔁 S. Armstrong
↦ N. Wells
85′
🔁 J. Williams
↦ H. Roberts
85′
🔁 Y. Hirakawa
↦ M. Bird
N. Bassette 🔁
↦ B. Thomas-Asante
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Coventry

3-5-2
1 O. Dovin G
22 J. Latibeaudiere D
2 L. Binks D
15 L. Kitching D
27 M. van Ewijk M
29 V. Torp M
8 J. Allen M
5 J. Rudoni M
3 J. Dasilva M
23 B. Thomas-Asante F
9 E. Simms F
Bench (9)
28 J. Eccles
37 N. Bassette
21 J. Bidwell
17 R. Borges Rodrigues
4 B. Thomas
40 B. Collins
7 T. Sakamoto
53 G. Sandiford
30 Fábio Tavares

Coach: F. Lampard

Bristol City

3-4-3
1 M. O’Leary G
14 Z. Vyner D
16 R. Dickie D
15 L. McNally D
2 R. McCrorie M
6 M. Bird M
12 J. Knight M
24 H. Roberts M
10 S. Twine F
21 N. Wells F
11 A. Mehmeti F
Bench (9)
20 S. Bell
17 M. Sykes
30 S. Armstrong
8 J. Williams
7 Y. Hirakawa
19 G. Tanner
40 G. Earthy
23 S. Bajić
4 K. Naismith

Coach: L. Manning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,11
U
3,41
B
3,40
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Smith · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.