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Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

Zwolle

S U T U T

3–1

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,2

4,3

Scored

0,3

3,0

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 53%

22%

83%

Points per game

0,9

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

39%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,4

4,2

Scored

0,9

3,4

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+2,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,18 xG 3,21

30% Possession 70%

7 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 13. · PSV Eindhoven 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	18	15	1	2	+46	+24.0	46
2	Ajax	18	13	3	2	+22	+12.9	42
3	Utrecht	18	12	3	3	+7	+0.6	39
4	Feyenoord	18	10	5	3	+18	+18.9	35
5	Twente	17	10	4	3	+16	+14.9	34
6	Go Ahead Eagles	18	8	4	6	+6	+11.2	28
7	AZ Alkmaar	16	8	3	5	+5	+6.5	27
8	For Sittard	18	7	4	7	-3	-0.3	25
9	Heerenveen	17	7	3	7	-4	-1.7	24
10	Willem II	18	6	4	8	-2	-14.7	22
11	NAC Breda	18	7	1	10	-10	-8.1	22
12	Nijmegen	18	6	2	10	+0	+4.5	20
13	Zwolle	18	4	5	9	-11	-13.4	17
14	Groningen	17	4	5	8	-12	-10.5	17
15	Heracles	17	3	6	8	-15	-15.0	15
16	Sparta Rotterdam	18	2	7	9	-12	+0.8	13
17	Almere City	18	2	4	12	-27	-13.5	10
18	Waalwijk	18	1	4	13	-24	-17.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	8	1	0	+29	+14.1	25
2	Ajax	9	8	1	0	+16	+11.1	25
3	Twente	9	6	3	0	+15	+13.2	21
4	Heerenveen	8	5	3	0	+9	+4.6	18
5	Go Ahead Eagles	9	5	2	2	+8	+12.1	17
6	Feyenoord	9	5	2	2	+7	+11.0	17
7	Utrecht	9	5	1	3	-3	+4.0	16
8	For Sittard	9	5	0	4	+0	+2.5	15
9	NAC Breda	9	5	0	4	+0	-0.1	15
10	Groningen	9	3	4	2	+4	+0.7	13
11	Zwolle	9	4	0	5	-1	-1.4	12
12	Nijmegen	9	3	2	4	+6	+7.4	11
13	Willem II	9	3	2	4	+3	-3.7	11
14	Heracles	9	2	5	2	+0	-2.3	11
15	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	1	3	+0	+5.5	10
16	Almere City	9	2	1	6	-14	-3.3	7
17	Waalwijk	9	1	2	6	-9	-6.0	5
18	Sparta Rotterdam	9	0	4	5	-9	+2.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Utrecht	9	7	2	0	+10	-3.3	23
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	0	2	+17	+9.9	21
3	Feyenoord	9	5	3	1	+11	+7.9	18
4	Ajax	9	5	2	2	+6	+1.8	17
5	AZ Alkmaar	9	5	2	2	+5	+1.0	17
6	Twente	8	4	1	3	+1	+1.7	13
7	Go Ahead Eagles	9	3	2	4	-2	-0.8	11
8	Willem II	9	3	2	4	-5	-11.0	11
9	For Sittard	9	2	4	3	-3	-2.8	10
10	Sparta Rotterdam	9	2	3	4	-3	-1.9	9
11	Nijmegen	9	3	0	6	-6	-2.9	9
12	NAC Breda	9	2	1	6	-10	-8.0	7
13	Heerenveen	9	2	0	7	-13	-6.2	6
14	Zwolle	9	0	5	4	-10	-12.0	5
15	Heracles	8	1	1	6	-15	-12.7	4
16	Groningen	8	1	1	6	-16	-11.2	4
17	Almere City	9	0	3	6	-13	-10.2	3
18	Waalwijk	9	0	2	7	-15	-11.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.