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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
Lorient
S S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Paris FC
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 47%
53%
40%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
21 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lorient 2. · Paris FC 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 15 9 4 2 +13 31
2 Lorient 15 9 3 3 +13 30
3 Metz 15 8 4 3 +11 28
4 Dunkerque 15 9 1 5 +3 28
5 Annecy 15 7 5 3 +5 26
6 Laval 16 7 4 5 +8 25
7 Guingamp 16 8 1 7 +4 25
8 Amiens 16 7 2 7 -1 23
9 Bastia 16 4 10 2 +2 22
10 Pau FC 16 6 4 6 -1 22
11 Rodez 16 5 5 6 +3 20
12 Grenoble 15 5 3 7 +0 18
13 Troyes 16 5 3 8 -4 18
14 Clermont 16 4 5 7 -5 17
15 Caen 15 4 3 8 -4 15
16 Ajaccio 16 4 3 9 -7 15
17 Red Star 15 4 3 8 -14 15
18 Martigues 16 2 3 11 -26 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Jul -19 Lorient – Paris FC 3–0

Match report

Lorient Paris FC
1–0 J. Ponceau
A. Tosin
13′
26′
🟨 Vincent Marchetti
Laurent Abergel 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
G. Kalulu 🔁
↦ Igor Silva
46′
E. Kroupi 🔁
↦ P. Pagis
62′
S. Soumano 🔁
↦ A. Tosin
62′
Panos Katseris 🟨
63′
66′
🔁 N. Dicko
↦ P. Hamel
70′
🔁 J. Gaudin
↦ M. Tourraine
71′
🔁 J. López
↦ A. Camara
71′
🔁 Y. Koré
↦ A. Soumahoro
75′
🟨 Julien López
76′
🟨 Maxime López
T. Le Bris 🔁
↦ J. Ponceau
78′
84′
🟨 Vincent Marchetti
84′
🟥 Vincent Marchetti
F. Mendy 🔁
↦ P. Katseris
86′
87′
🔁 L. Doucet
↦ I. Kebbal
2–0 S. Soumano
97′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lorient

4-1-4-1
38 Y. Mvogo G
2 Igor Silva D
15 J. Laporte D
3 M. Talbi D
44 D. Yongwa D
6 L. Abergel M
77 P. Katseris M
62 A. Avom M
21 J. Ponceau M
10 P. Pagis M
27 A. Tosin F
Bench (7)
24 G. Kalulu
22 E. Kroupi
28 S. Soumano
11 T. Le Bris
5 F. Mendy
93 J. Mvuka
1 B. Leroy

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Paris FC

4-3-1-2
16 O. Nkambadio G
39 M. Tourraine D
5 M. Mbow D
15 T. Kolodziejczak D
6 A. Soumahoro D
21 M. Lopez M
4 V. Marchetti M
17 A. Camara M
10 I. Kebbal M
11 J. Krasso F
29 P. Hamel F
Bench (7)
12 N. Dicko
27 J. Gaudin
20 J. López
25 Y. Koré
8 L. Doucet
2 T. Ollila
1 R. Riou

Coach: S. Gilli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,00
U
3,39
B
3,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,94
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.