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2. Bundesliga

Referee: C Dingert

Hamburg

U S U U S

1–0

Full-time

FC Koln

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg FC Koln

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,3

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 47%

41%

53%

Points per game

1,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

76%

65%

Both score Ø 68%

76%

59%

Average goals

3,6

3,2

Scored

2,3

1,9

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 6

2 Offside 9

14 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 5. · FC Koln 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Koln	17	9	4	4	+9	31
2	Hannover	18	9	3	6	+6	30
3	Kaiserslautern	18	8	5	5	+4	29
4	Karlsruhe	17	8	5	4	+3	29
5	Hamburg	17	7	7	3	+16	28
6	Elversberg	17	8	4	5	+9	28
7	Magdeburg	17	7	7	3	+6	28
8	Paderborn	17	7	7	3	+5	28
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	18	7	6	5	+5	27
10	Darmstadt	18	6	7	5	+7	25
11	Nurnberg	17	6	4	7	+1	22
12	Hertha	17	6	4	7	+0	22
13	Schalke 04	18	5	6	7	-1	21
14	Greuther Furth	18	5	5	8	-10	20
15	Preußen Münster	18	4	7	7	-4	19
16	Ulm	18	2	8	8	-5	14
17	Braunschweig	18	3	5	10	-20	14
18	Regensburg	18	3	2	13	-31	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	9	7	1	1	+9	22
2	Hamburg	9	4	5	0	+15	17
3	Elversberg	9	5	1	3	+3	16
4	Kaiserslautern	9	4	3	2	+5	15
5	FC Koln	9	4	2	3	+7	14
6	Paderborn	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Nurnberg	8	4	2	2	+3	14
8	Karlsruhe	8	4	2	2	+2	14
9	Darmstadt	9	3	4	2	+7	13
10	Braunschweig	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Greuther Furth	9	3	2	4	-6	11
12	Preußen Münster	10	2	4	4	-2	10
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Regensburg	10	3	1	6	-10	10
15	Schalke 04	8	2	2	4	-2	8
16	Hertha	8	2	1	5	-4	7
17	Ulm	8	1	3	4	-2	6
18	Magdeburg	8	0	6	2	-5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	5	2	1	+8	17
3	FC Koln	8	5	2	1	+2	17
4	Hertha	9	4	3	2	+4	15
5	Karlsruhe	9	4	3	2	+1	15
6	Paderborn	9	3	5	1	+1	14
7	Kaiserslautern	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	Schalke 04	10	3	4	3	+1	13
9	Elversberg	8	3	3	2	+6	12
10	Darmstadt	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Hamburg	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Preußen Münster	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Greuther Furth	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Nurnberg	9	2	2	5	-2	8
15	Ulm	10	1	5	4	-3	8
16	Hannover	9	2	2	5	-3	8
17	Braunschweig	9	0	2	7	-20	2
18	Regensburg	8	0	1	7	-21	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.