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Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
Bochum
T U S T S
3–3
Full-time
RB Leipzig
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,5
4,2
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 33%
12%
53%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
41%
59%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

3,09 xG 2,21
45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
5 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bochum 18. · RB Leipzig 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 17 13 3 1 +40 +31.5 42
2 Leverkusen 17 11 5 1 +18 +14.0 38
3 Ein Frankfurt 18 11 3 4 +18 +8.3 36
4 RB Leipzig 17 9 3 5 +5 -3.7 30
5 Stuttgart 17 8 5 4 +6 +9.8 29
6 Mainz 17 8 4 5 +9 -0.5 28
7 Wolfsburg 17 8 3 6 +9 -1.3 27
8 Freiburg 17 8 3 6 -5 +0.3 27
9 Werder Bremen 17 7 5 5 -1 -0.0 26
10 Dortmund 18 7 4 7 +1 +2.6 25
11 M'gladbach 17 7 3 7 +0 -4.6 24
12 Augsburg 17 5 4 8 -14 -6.5 19
13 Union Berlin 17 4 5 8 -9 -4.8 17
14 St Pauli 17 4 2 11 -9 -6.2 14
15 Heidenheim 17 4 2 11 -13 -4.3 14
16 Hoffenheim 17 3 5 9 -14 -9.3 14
17 Holstein Kiel 17 3 2 12 -18 -10.1 11
18 Bochum 17 2 3 12 -23 -15.1 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bochum RB Leipzig
Matúš Bero 🟨
9′
10′
W. Orbán 0–1
D. Raum
13′
A. Nusa 0–2
Felix Passlack 🟨
19′
21′
C. Baumgartner 0–3
D. Raum
Half-time 0–3
G. Holtmann 🔁
↦ F. Passlack
46′
1–3 M. Boadu
G. Holtmann
48′
2–3 M. Boadu
M. Broschinski
56′
3–3 M. Boadu
61′
68′
🔁 A. Haidara
↦ A. Vermeeren
Ibrahima Sissoko 🟨
69′
73′
🔁 Y. Poulsen
↦ R. Baku
E. Mašović 🔁
↦ M. Broschinski
89′
Ivan Ordets 🟨
92′
P. Hofmann 🔁
↦ D. de Wit
92′
L. Daschner 🔁
↦ M. Boadu
92′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Bochum

3-4-1-2
27 P. Drewes G
14 T. Oermann D
20 I. Ordets D
5 Bernardo D
15 F. Passlack M
19 M. Bero M
6 I. Sissoko M
32 M. Wittek M
10 D. de Wit F
9 M. Boadu F
29 M. Broschinski F
Bench (9)
21 G. Holtmann
4 E. Mašović
33 P. Hofmann
7 L. Daschner
23 K. Miyoshi
2 C. Gamboa
18 S. Bamba
13 J. Medić
1 T. Horn

Coach: D. Hecking

RB Leipzig

3-4-2-1
1 P. Gulácsi G
13 N. Seiwald D
16 L. Klostermann D
4 W. Orbán D
17 R. Baku M
18 A. Vermeeren M
44 K. Kampl M
22 D. Raum M
10 X. Simons F
7 A. Nusa F
14 C. Baumgartner F
Bench (9)
8 A. Haidara
9 Y. Poulsen
26 M. Vandevoordt
3 L. Geertruida
6 E. Elmas
47 V. Gebel
5 E. Bitshiabu
48 L. Voufack
29 R. Ramšak

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,63
U ✓
3,70
B
1,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,12
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.